{"id":10879,"date":"2025-01-16T15:31:53","date_gmt":"2025-01-16T06:31:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=10879"},"modified":"2025-01-17T14:31:52","modified_gmt":"2025-01-17T05:31:52","slug":"%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ed%96%89%ec%a0%95%eb%b6%80-2%ea%b8%b0-%ec%b6%9c%eb%b2%94-%ec%9c%a0%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ec%9e%94%ec%b9%98-%ec%a2%85%ec%8b%9d-%ec%98%88%ea%b3%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=10879","title":{"rendered":"\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 2\uae30 \ucd9c\ubc94, ‘\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc794\uce58’ \uc885\uc2dd \uc608\uace0"},"content":{"rendered":"

|\u2460\uac10\uc138\uc815\ucc45 \ud0d3 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc720\ubc1c\u2026\uc911\uae08\ub9ac \uccb4\uc81c \ub3cc\uc785, LP \uc6b4\uc6a9 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc218\uc815 \ubd88\uac00\ud53c<\/h3>\n

\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504(Donald Trump) 2\uae30 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd9c\ubc94\ud55c\ub2e4. 1\uae30 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 \ub54c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uac10\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc608\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub3c4 \ub2a6\ucdb0\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc57d 4~4.5%\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ubc14\uc57c\ud750\ub85c ‘\uc911\uae08\ub9ac’ \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uc57d 30\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ub3cc\uc544\uc628 \uc148\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc624\ub79c \uae30\uac04 \uc800\uae08\ub9ac \uccb4\uc81c \ud558\uc5d0\uc11c \ud65c\ub3d9\ud574\uc654\ub358 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uae30\uad00\ucd9c\uc790\uc790(LP)\ub4e4\uc758 \uc6b4\uc6a9 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \ub300\ud3ed \ubc14\ub014 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\u25c71\uae30 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 ‘TCJA’\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uac10\uc138\uc548 \uc608\uace0<\/strong><\/p>\n

2024\ub144 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7ac\uc9d1\uad8c\uc5d0 \uc131\uacf5\ud55c \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc624\ub294 \uc81c 47\ub300 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc5d0 \ucde8\uc784\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub85c\ubc84 \ud074\ub9ac\ube14\ub79c\ub4dc(\uc81c 22\u00b724\ub300 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839) \ud589\uc815\ubd80 \uc774\ud6c4 131\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ud1f4\uc784 4\ub144 \ub4a4 \uc7ac\uc120\uc5d0 \uc131\uacf5\ud558\uc5ec \uc874\uc18d \uae30\uac04\uc774 \ub098\ub204\uc5b4\uc838 \uc788\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc0c1 \ub450 \ubc88\uc9f8 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 \ucd9c\ubc94\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c \uae30\uc870\uac00 \ubc14\ub014 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\uc774 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uac15\uc870\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 ‘\uac10\uc138 \uc815\ucc45’\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3df\uc544\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucde8\uc784 \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uc7ac\uc9d1\uad8c 100\uc77c \uc548\uc5d0 \uac01\uc885 \uac10\uc138 \uacf5\uc57d\uc744 \uc2dc\ud589\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \uc608\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

‘\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 1\uae30 \ud589\uc815\ubd80’\uc758 \uac10\uc138 \ubc95\uc548\uc778 TCJA(Tax Cut and Jobs Act)\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub3c4 \ub354 \uac15\ud574\uc9c4 \ubc95\uc778\uc138 \uc778\ud558 \ud328\ud0a4\uc9c0\ub97c \uc900\ube44 \uc911\uc778 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubc95\uc778\uc138 \ucd5c\uace0\uc138\uc728\uc744 \uae30\uc874 21%\uc5d0\uc11c 15%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \ub4f1 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc870\uce58\ub4e4\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc77c\uac01\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubc8c\uc368\ubd80\ud130 \uc6b0\ub824\uc758 \ubaa9\uc18c\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uac10\uc138 \uacf5\uc57d\uc774 \uc2e4\ud604\ub418\uba74 \ud5a5\ud6c4 10\ub144\uac04 \uc7ac\uc815 \ubd80\ucc44\uac00 9\uc8701500\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\ud55c\ud654 \uc57d 1\uacbd2679\uc870\uc6d0)\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub298\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc0b0\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\uba74 \uc774\ub97c \uba54\uc6b0\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc790\uae08 \ucc28\uc785, \uc989 \uad6d\ucc44 \ubc1c\ud589\uc774 \ubd88\uac00\ud53c\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uc9c0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c Fed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uace0\ubbfc\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uac8c \ub41c\ub2e4. \uad6d\ucc44 \ubc1c\ud589 \uc99d\uac00\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc57c\uae30\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucc44\uad8c \uacf5\uae09\ub7c9\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uad6d\ucc44 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uace0, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub2e4. \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 \uac10\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uacbd\uae30 \ubd80\uc591\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc774 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ub18d\ud6c4\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud558\ub294 \uc6d0\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ud574\uacb0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc7ac\uc815\uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0 \uc138\uc218\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubcf4\ud3b8 \uad00\uc138, \ubc29\uc704\ube44 \ubd84\ub2f4 \uc99d\uc561 \ub4f1\uc758 \uc555\ubc15 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc81c\uae30\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\u25c7\ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc5f0\uac04 3~3.5% \uc608\uc0c1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"
<\ucd9c\ucc98=FOMC><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4 Fed \uc758\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \uc811\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4\uba70 ‘\uc2e0\uc911\ub860’\uc744 \ub4e4\uace0 \ub098\uc130\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uacac\uc870\ud558\uac8c \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c 2025\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 4\ud68c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 2\ubc88\uc73c\ub85c \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 ‘\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc794\uce58’\uc600\ub358 \uc800\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\ub300\uac00 \uc885\uc2dd\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uad6d\ub0b4\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc5f0\uac04 4~4.5%\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294, \uc989 ‘\uc911\ubb3c\uac00-\uc911\uae08\ub9ac-\uc911\uc131\uc7a5’ \uc2dc\ub300\ub85c \ub3cc\uc785\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc131\uc7a5 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ub454\ud654\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ud639\uc740 \uc801\uc815 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0 3~3.5% \uc218\uc900\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uad6d\ub0b4 LP\ub4e4\uc758 \uc6b4\uc6a9 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc5ed\uc2dc \ubc14\ub014 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud48d\ubd80\ud588\ub358 \uc800\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\ub300\uc640 \ub2ec\ub9ac \uc880 \ub354 \uc138\ubd84\ud654\ub41c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubbf8 \ub300\uccb4\ud22c\uc790, \uc8fc\uc2dd, \ucc44\uad8c \ub4f1 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc601\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \uc774\ub904\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucc44\uad8c\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc5f0\uae30\uae08\ub4e4\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \uce90\ub9ac\uc218\uc775\uc744 \uac00\uc838\ub2e4 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud68c\uc0ac\ucc44 \ub4f1\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud560 \uc720\uc778\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc9c0\uae09\uc728(\uae09\uc5ec\uc728) \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0b4\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uacf5\uc81c\ud68c\ub4e4\uc740 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc560\ub9e4\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \ucc44\uad8c \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \uba48\ucd9c \uc218\ub294 \uc5c6\uc9c0\ub9cc \ube44\uc911\uc740 \uc774\uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc904 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub300\uccb4\ud22c\uc790 \uc911 M&A \uc139\ud130\ub294 \ub0b4\ubd80\uc218\uc775\ub960(IRR)\uc758 \uc9c0\uc704\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 DPI(Distribution to Paid in Capital)\uc758 \uc911\uc694\uc131\uc774 \ubd80\uac01\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uae08\uc758 \u2018\uc2dc\uac04\u2019 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c IRR\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac DPI\ub294 \ubc30\ub2f9 \ub4f1\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0 \uc720\uc785\ub418\ub294 \ud604\uae08 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ucf00 \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud55c LP \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub294 “\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 \ucd9c\ubc94\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 4%\ub300 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \uc758\ud55c \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc81c\uace0\ub294 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \ud798\ub4e4\ub2e4”\ub77c\uba70 “\ubaa8\ub4e0 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uae30\uc900\uc744 \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc7ac\uc815\ube44\ub97c \uac00\uc838\uc57c\ud560 \uc2dc\uae30”\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\/ \ub0a8\uc900\uc6b0 \ub354\ubca8 \uae30\uc790<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

|\u2460\uac10\uc138\uc815\ucc45 \ud0d3 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc720\ubc1c\u2026\uc911\uae08\ub9ac \uccb4\uc81c \ub3cc\uc785, LP \uc6b4\uc6a9 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc218\uc815 \ubd88\uac00\ud53c \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504(Donald Trump) 2\uae30 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd9c\ubc94\ud55c\ub2e4. 1\uae30 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 \ub54c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uac10\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc608\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub3c4 \ub2a6\ucdb0\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc57d 4~4.5%\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ubc14\uc57c\ud750\ub85c ‘\uc911\uae08\ub9ac’ \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uc57d 30\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ub3cc\uc544\uc628 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":10880,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[922,611],"tags":[1895,1896,1799,1894],"class_list":{"0":"post-10879","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-thebell","8":"category-korea","9":"tag-fomc","10":"tag-lp","11":"tag-1799","12":"tag-1894"},"yoast_head":"\n\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 2\uae30 \ucd9c\ubc94, '\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc794\uce58' \uc885\uc2dd \uc608\uace0 SanctionLab<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504(Donald Trump) 2\uae30 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd9c\ubc94\ud55c\ub2e4. 1\uae30 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 \ub54c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uac10\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc608\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub3c4 \ub2a6\ucdb0\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=10879\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 2\uae30 \ucd9c\ubc94, '\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc794\uce58' \uc885\uc2dd \uc608\uace0 SanctionLab\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504(Donald Trump) 2\uae30 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd9c\ubc94\ud55c\ub2e4. 1\uae30 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 \ub54c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uac10\uc138 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