{"id":12446,"date":"2025-02-04T06:09:33","date_gmt":"2025-02-03T21:09:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=12446"},"modified":"2025-02-11T16:18:57","modified_gmt":"2025-02-11T07:18:57","slug":"%ec%8b%ac%ec%b8%b5%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d-%e7%be%8e-csis-%ec%ba%90%eb%82%98%eb%8b%a4-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad%ec%9d%98-%ea%b4%91%eb%ac%bc-%ec%95%88%eb%b3%b4%eb%a5%bc-%ec%9c%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=12446","title":{"rendered":"[\uc2ec\uce35\ubd84\uc11d] \u7f8e CSIS &#8220;\uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uad00\uc138\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad11\ubb3c \uc548\ubcf4\ub97c \uc704\ud611\ud560 \uac83&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uad6d\uac00 \uc548\ubcf4, \uacbd\uc81c \uc548\ubcf4, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc548\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc778 \uad11\ubb3c \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uad6d \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub178\ub825\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc640\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\uacfc\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub178\ub825\uc744 \uc2ec\uac01\ud558\uac8c \uc800\ud574\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc74c. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uad6d\uc81c\ubb38\uc81c\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c(CSIS)\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300(\u5c0d) \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uad00\uc138 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad11\ubb3c \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ud070 \ud63c\ub780\uc744 \ucd08\ub798\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/canadian-tariffs-will-undermine-us-minerals-security\">\ubd84\uc11d<\/a>\uc744 \ub0b4\ub193\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\uac1c\uc694<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ucd5c\ub300 \uad11\ubb3c \uacf5\uae09\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc218\uc785\ud558\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac(\uc6b0\ub77c\ub284, \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284, \ub2c8\ucf08, \ucca0\uac15, \uad6c\ub9ac \ub4f1)\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uacf5\uae09\uc6d0 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud568.<\/li>\n<li>2023\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc785\ud55c \uad11\ubb3c\uc740 \ucd1d 470\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 68\uc870 4000\uc5b5\uc6d0)\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uac19\uc740 \ud574 \uc911\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc785\ud55c \uad11\ubb3c\uc740 283\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 41\uc870 1700\uc5b5\uc6d0)\uc600\uc74c.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\ub9cc\uc57d \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \uad11\ubb3c\uc5d0 25%\uc758 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 117.5\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 17\uc870 1000\uc5b5\uc6d0)\uc758 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ubd80\ub2f4<\/strong>\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\uc18d \ubc0f \uc6b0\ub77c\ub284 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc74c.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 \ubcf4\ubcf5 \uad00\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5<br \/>\n<\/strong>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub294 \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \uc870\uce58\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ubcf5 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\uc74c<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 2018\ub144\uacfc 2020\ub144, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \ucca0\uac15\uacfc \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 232\uc870 \uad00\uc138(25%)\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub294 \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ubcf5 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \ucd5c\uc885\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \ucca0\ud68c.<\/p>\n<p>2023\ub144 \uae30\uc900, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 307\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec (\uc57d 44\uc8706000\uc5b5\uc6d0)\uc0c1\ub2f9\uc758 \uad11\ubb3c\uc744 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc5d0 \uc218\ucd9c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, <strong>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uac00 \ubcf4\ubcf5 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud558\uba74 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \uc57d 76\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 11\uc870 500\uc5b5\uc6d0)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ubd80\ub2f4<\/strong>\ud574\uc57c \ud568. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc \ub2e4\ub978 \uad6d\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c \uad11\ubb3c\uc744 \uc870\ub2ec\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \uc720\ub3c4\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uacb0\uad6d \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728 \uac10\uc18c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc784.<\/p>\n<p>\uad11\ubb3c \ube44\uc6a9\uc758 \uc99d\uac00 \ub610\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \ubd80\uc871\uc740 \uad6d\ubc29, \uc6d0\uc790\ub825, \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc5d0 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uac83\uc784.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\uc6b0\ub77c\ub284: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc6d0\uc790\ub825 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5<\/strong><br \/>\n\uc6b0\ub77c\ub284\uc740 \uc6d0\uc790\ub825 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc6d0\ub8cc\uc774\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc138\uacc4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc6d0\uc790\ub825 \ubc1c\uc804\uad6d\uc784. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc6d0\uc790\ub825 \ubc1c\uc804\ub7c9\uc740 \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc815\uccb4\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc6d0\uc790\ub85c \uc2e0\uaddc \uac74\uc124 \ubd80\uc871\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 2030\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc6d0\uc790\ub825 \ubc1c\uc804 \uc6a9\ub7c9\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc744 \uc55e\uc9c0\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc6d0\uc790\ub825 \uac15\uad6d \uc9c0\uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc6b0\ub77c\ub284 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uc774 \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc774\ub098, \ud604\uc7ac \uc138\uacc4 \uc6b0\ub77c\ub284 \ub18d\ucd95 \uc6a9\ub7c9\uc758 50% \uc774\uc0c1\uc774 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc640 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc9c0\ubc30\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc548\ubcf4\uac00 \uc704\ud5d8\ud574\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc6b0\ub77c\ub284 \ub9e4\uc7a5\ub7c9\uc740 59,400\ud1a4\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub294 588,500\ud1a4\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 10\ubc30 \uc774\uc0c1\uc784. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub294 <strong>\uc138\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \ub450 \ubc88\uc9f8\ub85c \ud070 \uc6b0\ub77c\ub284 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uad6d\uc774\uc790 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc6b0\ub77c\ub284 \uacf5\uae09\uad6d(\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc218\uc694\uc758 25% \ucda9\ub2f9)<\/strong>\uc784.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub77c\ub284\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc6d0\uc790\ub825 \uac15\uad6d \uc9c0\uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \ub3c4\uc804\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc784.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\ub2c8\ucf08: \ubbf8\uad6d \ubc29\uc704\uc0b0\uc5c5\uacfc \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5<\/strong><br \/>\n\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub294 <strong>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ucd5c\ub300 \ub2c8\ucf08 \uacf5\uae09\uad6d\uc774\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2c8\ucf08 \uc218\uc694\uc758 50% \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \uacf5\uae09<\/strong>\ud568.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2c8\ucf08 \ud569\uae08\uc740 \uad6d\ubc29 \ubc0f \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc778 \uc6d0\ub8cc\ub85c, <strong>\ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4 \ub2c8\ucf08 \uad11\uc0b0\uc740 \ub2e8 \ud558\ub098<\/strong>(\ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04 \uc774\uae00 \uad11\uc0b0)\ub9cc \uc6b4\uc601\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2c8\ucf08 \uc815\uc81c\uc18c\uac00 \ub2e8 \ud558\ub098\ub3c4 \uc5c6\uc73c\uba70, \ubaa8\ub4e0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc0b0 \ub2c8\ucf08\uc740 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uc11c\ub4dc\ubca0\ub9ac \uc815\uc81c\uc18c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub0b4\uc9c4 \ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud310\ub9e4\ub428.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2c8\ucf08\uc740 \ubc29\uc704\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc6a9\ub3c4\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ub428<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 \uac15\ucca0 \ud569\uae08(\ubc29\ud0c4 \ucc28\ub7c9, \uad70\ud568, \ubb34\uae30 \uc81c\uc791 \ub4f1)<br \/>\n\u2022 \uc81c\ud2b8 \uc5d4\uc9c4(\ud130\ube48 \ube14\ub808\uc774\ub4dc \ubc0f \ub514\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 50~60% \ub2c8\ucf08 \ud568\uc720)<br \/>\n\u2022 \uad70\ud568 \ubc0f \uc7a0\uc218\ud568(\ubd80\uc2dd \ubc29\uc9c0 \uc2a4\ud14c\uc778\ub9ac\uc2a4 \uc2a4\ud2f8 \uc81c\uc791\uc5d0 \ud544\uc218)<br \/>\n\u2022 \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c(\ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \ucf00\uc774\uc2f1 \ubc0f \uc720\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub428)<br \/>\n\u2022 \uad70\uc6a9 \ubc30\ud130\ub9ac(\ub2c8\ucf08-\uce74\ub4dc\ubbb4 \ubc0f \ub2c8\ucf08-\uc218\uc18c \ubc30\ud130\ub9ac \ud3ec\ud568)<\/p>\n<p>\ub2c8\ucf08\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubc29\uc704\uc0b0\uc5c5\uacfc \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc904 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uacb0\uad6d \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \ub354 \uc800\ub834\ud55c \uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544\uc0b0 \ub2c8\ucf08(\ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uc911\uad6d \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc9c0\ubc30)\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uac83\uc784. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uc758 &#8216;\ud0c8\uc911\uad6d\ud654&#8217; \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc815\ubc18\ub300 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ucd08\ub798\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284: \uc0b0\uc5c5 \ubc0f \uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5<\/strong><br \/>\n\uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284\uc740 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28, \ud56d\uacf5\uae30, \ud2b8\ub7ed, \uac74\uc124, \ud3ec\uc7a5, \uc804\ub825 \uc804\uc1a1, \ud654\ud559 \ubc0f \uc2dd\ud488 \uac00\uacf5 \uc7a5\ube44 \ub4f1\uc5d0 \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc778 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\uc774\uba70, \uace0\uc21c\ub3c4 \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284\uc740 \uc804\ud22c\uae30, \ud0c4\uc57d, \uc7a5\uac11\ucc28, \ubc29\ud0c4\ubcf5 \ub4f1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub428.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc138\uacc4 \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uc758 2% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc744 \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\uba70, <strong>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284 \uacf5\uae09\uad6d<\/strong>(2023\ub144 89\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc57d 13\uc870\uc6d0 \uaddc\ubaa8). \ub9cc\uc57d <strong>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284\uc5d0 25%\uc758 \uad00\uc138\uac00 \ubd80\uacfc\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc740 \uc57d 22\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(3\uc870 2000\uc5b5\uc6d0)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ubd80\ub2f4<\/strong>\ud558\uac8c \ub428. \ub354\uad70\ub2e4\ub098 <strong>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\ub294 \uad70\uc0ac \ub4f1\uae09 \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284\uc744 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc81c\ub828\uc18c\uac00 \ub2e8 \ud558\ub098\ubfd0<\/strong>\uc774\uba70, \uad00\uc138\uac00 \ubd80\uacfc\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uad70\uc218 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uc774 \uc704\ud611\ubc1b\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubc29\uc704\uc0b0\uc5c5 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uc744 \uc2ec\uac01\ud558\uac8c \uc704\ud611\ud560 \uac83\uc784.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\uacb0\ub860: \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \uad11\ubb3c \uad00\uc138\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uc131<\/strong><br \/>\n2018\ub144\uacfc 2020\ub144, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \ucca0\uac15(25%) \ubc0f \uc54c\ub8e8\ubbf8\ub284(10%)\uc5d0 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 \ubcf4\ubcf5 \uc870\uce58\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4 \ubc18\ubc1c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uacb0\uad6d \ucca0\ud68c\ud55c \uc801\uc774 \uc788\uc74c. 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \uad11\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138\uac00 \ubd80\uacfc\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad6d\ubc29, \uc6d0\uc790\ub825, \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc904 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p>\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud0c8\uc911\uad6d\ud654\ub97c \ub3d5\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc640\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc744 \uc800\ud574\ud558\ub294 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uacb0\uad6d \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \ubc0f \uc548\ubcf4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \uacb0\ub860\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc0b0 \uad11\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc758 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uc744 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc640 \uc0c1\ucda9\ud558\ub294 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ucd08\ub798\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 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