{"id":22262,"date":"2025-04-10T06:16:27","date_gmt":"2025-04-09T21:16:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=22262"},"modified":"2025-04-08T19:41:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-08T10:41:00","slug":"%ec%8b%ac%ec%b8%b5%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d-%ec%83%81%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%9d%98-%eb%aa%85%eb%b6%84%ec%97%90-%ea%b0%80%eb%a0%a4%ec%a7%84-%eb%b6%88%ea%b7%a0%ed%98%95-%ed%8a%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=22262","title":{"rendered":"[\uc2ec\uce35\ubd84\uc11d] \u2018\uc0c1\ud638\uc8fc\uc758\u2019 \uba85\ubd84\uc5d0 \uac00\ub824\uc9c4 \ubd88\uade0\ud615\u2026 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uad00\uc138\uac00 \ub193\uce5c \uac83\ub4e4"},"content":{"rendered":"<h6>\ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790 \uc8fc: \ub2e4\uc74c\uc740 \ud53c\ud130\uc2a8 \uad6d\uc81c\uacbd\uc81c\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c(Peterson Institute of International Economy)\uc5d0 \uac8c\uc7ac\ub41c &#8216;\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 4\uc6d4 2\uc77c \uad00\uc138\uc815\ucc45, \uac1c\ubc1c\ub3c4\uc0c1\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub97c \ub9c8\ube44\uc2dc\ud0ac\uac83(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.piie.com\/blogs\/realtime-economics\/2025\/trumps-april-2-tariff-spree-could-cripple-developing-economies\">Trump&#8217;s April 2 tariff spree could cripple developing economies<\/a>)\uc744 \uc694\uc57d \uc815\ub9ac\ud55c \uae00\uc784.<\/h6>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c 4\uc6d4 2\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc2e4\uc6a9\uc801\uc774\uba70 &#8216;\uc0c1\ud638\uc801(reciprocal)&#8217;\uc778 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc815\ucc45\uc774\ub77c \uc18c\uac1c\ud558\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uad50\uc5ed\uad6d \uac04\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed \uade0\ud615\uc744 \ubc14\ub85c\uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc870\uce58\ub77c\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud568. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uac1c\ubc1c\ub3c4\uc0c1\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc785\ub418\ub294 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc774\ubc88 \uad00\uc138\ub294 \uc0c1\ud638\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub3c4, \uc804\ub7b5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud0c0\ub2f9\ud558\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc54a\uc74c. \uc774\ub4e4 \uad00\uc138\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc218\ucd9c\ud488\uc5d0 \ubd80\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uad00\uc138 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744\ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uc800\uc18c\ub4dd \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc870\uac74\uc774\ub098 \uc7ac\uc815 \ud604\uc2e4, \uc81c\ub3c4\uc801 \uc5ed\ub7c9, \uc790\uc6d0, \uc9c0\ub9ac\uc801 \uc81c\uc57d\uc744 \uc804\ud600 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uac1c\ubc1c \uc6d0\uc870 \uc0ad\uac10\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \uc774\ubc88 \uad00\uc138 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uac1c\ubc1c\ub3c4\uc0c1\uad6d \ub0b4 \uc785\uc9c0\ub97c \ub3cc\uc774\ud0ac \uc218 \uc5c6\uc744 \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc548\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>\uc0c1\ud638\uc801\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uad00\uc138<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\uc6b0\uc120, \uc774\ubc88 \uad00\uc138\ub294 &#8216;\uc0c1\ud638\uc801&#8217;\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c. \uc9c4\uc815\ud55c \uc0c1\ud638\uc801 \uad00\uc138\ub780, \uc0c1\ub300\uad6d\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc0b0 \uc218\ucd9c\ud488\uc5d0 \ubd80\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\ub9cc\ud07c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uadf8 \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \uc218\uc785\ud488\uc5d0 \ub3d9\uc77c\ud55c \uc138\uc728\uc744 \ubd80\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uac83, \uc77c\ub300\uc77c \ub300\uc751\uc784. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \ubca0\ud2b8\ub0a8\uc758 2024\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \ud3c9\uade0 \ucd5c\ud61c\uad6d\uad00\uc138(MFN)\ub294 9.4%\uc600\uc74c. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc0c1\ud638\uc801 \uad00\uc138\ub77c\uba74 \ubca0\ud2b8\ub0a8\uc0b0 \uc218\uc785\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad00\uc138\ub3c4 9.4% \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5b4\uc57c \ud568. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 4\uc6d4 2\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \ubca0\ud2b8\ub0a8\uc0b0 \uc218\uc785\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138\ub294 \ubb34\ub824 46%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud568. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc591\uc790 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc774\ub860\uc0c1 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uad00\uc138\uc728\uc758 \uc808\ubc18 \uc815\ub3c4 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud558\uace0, \uadf8\ub9c8\uc800\ub3c4 \ud604\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc \uac70\ub9ac\uac00 \uba42.<\/p>\n<p>\uac8c\ub2e4\uac00 \uc774 \uacc4\uc0b0\uc870\ucc28 \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uad00\uc138 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \uac10\ub2f9\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc74c. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc120\uc9c4\uad6d\ub2f5\uac8c \uc790\ubcf8\uc9d1\uc57d\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uace0\uac00\uc758 \uc81c\ud488\uc744 \uc8fc\ub85c \uc218\ucd9c\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uac1c\ubc1c\ub3c4\uc0c1\uad6d\uc758 \uad6c\ub9e4\ub825\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc784. \ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c\uc740 \uc608\uc678\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc758 \uac1c\ubc1c\ub3c4\uc0c1\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ube48\uace4\uacfc \uc790\uae09\uc790\uc871 \ub18d\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc2dd\ub7c9 \uc218\uc785 \uc218\uc694\uc870\ucc28 \ub192\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c. \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uce58\ub85c \ubc18\ubbf8 \uc815\uc11c\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc774\ubbf8 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc640 \ub374\ub9c8\ud06c \ub4f1\uc5d0\uc11c \uad00\uce21\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc0b0 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ub9e4\uc6b4\ub3d9\uc774 \ub354 \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uc5b4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc694\ub294 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc704\ucd95\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n<h4><\/h4>\n<h4><strong>\uac1c\ub3c4\uad6d \ub192\uc740 \uad00\uc138\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uc120\ud0dd \uc544\ub2cc \uc7ac\uc815\uc801 \uc0dd\uc874 \uc218\ub2e8<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\ub9ce\uc740 \uac1c\ubc1c\ub3c4\uc0c1\uad6d\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc120\ud0dd\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc7ac\uc815\uc801 \ud544\uc694 \ub54c\ubb38\uc784. \uc774\ub4e4 \uad6d\uac00\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \uc7ac\uc815\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud55c \uac83\ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uc120\uc9c4\uad6d\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ud589\uc815 \ubc0f \uc9d5\uc138 \uc5ed\ub7c9\uc774 \ud604\uc800\ud788 \ub0ae\uc74c. \uc18c\uc218\uc758 \ud56d\ub9cc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9d5\uc218\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad00\uc138\ub294 \uc18c\ub4dd\uc138\u00b7\ubd80\uac00\uac00\uce58\uc138(VAT) \ub4f1 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uc138\uae08\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc9d5\uc218\uc640 \uc9d1\ud589\uc774 \ud6e8\uc52c \uc26c\uc6c0. \ubb3c\ub860 \uad00\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\uc874\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \uc65c\uace1\uc744 \ucd08\ub798\ud558\uace0, \ud604\uc9c0 \uc815\ucc45 \uc785\uc548\uc790\ub4e4\ub3c4 \uadf8 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \uc798 \uc54c\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uace0\uc728\uc758 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \ub2a5\ub825\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud574\uc11c\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ud604\uc2e4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd88\uac00\ud53c\ud55c \uc7ac\uc815 \uc5ec\uac74 \ub54c\ubb38\uc784.<\/p>\n<h4><\/h4>\n<h4><strong>\uc790\uae09 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ub300\uc548\uc740 \ud604\uc2e4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd88\uac00\ub2a5<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c \ub300\uc548\u2014\u201c\uadf8\ub0e5 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud558\uc790\u201d\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\u2014\uc740 \uc0c1\ub2f9\uc218 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ubb3c\ub9ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\ud604 \ubd88\uac00\ub2a5\ud568. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \ucf54\ud2b8\ub514\ubd80\uc544\ub974\ub294 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uce74\uce74\uc624 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uc758 \uac70\uc758 \uc808\ubc18\uc744 \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\uace0, \uc790\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ubbf8 \uc218\ucd9c \uc911 \uc57d 76%\uac00 \uce74\uce74\uc624\uc784. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uc6b0\uc5f0\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uae30\ud6c4, \ud574\ubc1c\uace0\ub3c4, \uc2b5\ub3c4 \ub4f1 \uc9c0\ub9ac\uc801 \uc870\uac74\uc774 \uacb0\ud569\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\uc784. \uce74\uce74\uc624 \ub098\ubb34\ub294 \uacb0\uc2e4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c 3~5\ub144, \uc218\ud655 \uadf9\ub300\ud654\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 10\ub144\uc774 \uac78\ub9bc. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774 \uc791\ubb3c\uc744 \uc7ac\ubc30\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud1a0\uc9c0\ub294 \ud558\uc640\uc774\uc5d0 \uc57d 3500\uc5d0\uc774\ucee4(\uc57d 14\uc81c\uacf1 \ud0ac\ub85c\ubbf8\ud130)\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \ucf54\ud2b8\ub514\ubd80\uc544\ub974\ub294 \uc57d 1180\ub9cc \uc5d0\uc774\ucee4(\uc57d 4\ub9cc8000\uc81c\uacf1 \ud0ac\ub85c\ubbf8\ud130)\ub97c \uc7ac\ubc30\uc9c0\ub85c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uce74\uce74\uc624 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc744 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc804\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc790\uac00\ub2f9\ucc29\uc801\uc77c \ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubd88\uac00\ub2a5\ud568. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 \ucf54\ud2b8\ub514\ubd80\uc544\ub974\uc0b0 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c 21% \uad00\uc138\ub85c\ub294 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud604\uc2e4\uc744 \ubc14\uafc0 \uc218 \uc5c6\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \uce74\uce74\uc624\ubfd0\ub9cc\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ucee4\ud53c, \ud6c4\ucd94, \ubc14\ub098\ub098, \ud31c\uc624\uc77c, \uad11\ubb3c \uc790\uc6d0 \ub4f1 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ud488\ubaa9\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a8. \uc774 \uc911 \uc77c\ubd80\ub294 \uc608\uc678 \uc870\ud56d\uc774 \uc801\uc6a9\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc9c0\ub9ac\u00b7\uae30\ud6c4 \uc870\uac74 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc790\uad6d \ub0b4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \ubd88\uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ube44\uacbd\uc81c\uc801\uc784. \ud2f0\uc154\uce20\ub098 \uc800\uac00 \uc2e0\ubc1c\ucc98\ub7fc \ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4 \uc7ac\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud488\ubaa9\uc5d0 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ub3c4 \ud6a8\uc728\uc131 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub17c\ub780\uc758 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc7ac\ubc30\u00b7\ucc44\uad74 \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \ubd88\uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud488\ubaa9\uc5d0 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud558\uba74\uc11c \u2018\uad6d\uc0b0\ud654\u2019\ub97c \ub9d0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ub17c\ub9ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc131\ub9bd\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c.<\/p>\n<h4><\/h4>\n<h4><strong>\uacb0\ub860 \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc815\ubd80 \uc218\uc785 \ud655\ubcf4, \uc0b0\uc5c5 \ub9ac\uc1fc\uc5b4\ub9c1 \ucd09\uc9c4, \uc591\uc790 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 \uade0\ud615\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubaa9\uc801\uc744 \ub0b4\uc138\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc774 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub17c\uc758 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub294 \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\ub098, \uacbd\uc7c1 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc774 \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubd84\uc57c\uc5d0\uc11c \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \uac1c\ubc1c\ub3c4\uc0c1\uad6d\uc5d0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc804\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ud589\uc704\uc77c \ubfd0\uc774\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub3c4 \ud53c\ud574\uac00 \ub3cc\uc544\uac10. \ud2b9\ud788, \uc774\ubbf8 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uac1c\ubc1c \uc6d0\uc870 \uc0ad\uac10\uc73c\ub85c \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc785\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac90 \uc774\uc911\uace0\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \uc544\uc6b8\ub7ec \ubbf8\uad6d \uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc678\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc218\uc694 \uc790\uccb4\ub97c \ucd95\uc18c\uc2dc\ucf1c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\uc678 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc785\uc9c0\uc640 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \ud574\uce58\ub294 \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \uc774\uac83\uc740 \uc0c1\ud638\uc8fc\uc758\ub3c4 \uc544\ub2c8\uba70, \uac1c\ubc1c\ub3c4\uc0c1\uad6d \ub0b4 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