{"id":25479,"date":"2025-05-01T08:01:09","date_gmt":"2025-04-30T23:01:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=25479"},"modified":"2025-05-02T08:35:17","modified_gmt":"2025-05-01T23:35:17","slug":"1%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%e7%be%8e-gdp-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-0-3-%ea%b8%b0%eb%a1%9d-%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%ec%86%8c%eb%b9%84-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%9d%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=25479","title":{"rendered":"1\ubd84\uae30 \u7f8e GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 -0.3% \uae30\ub85d… “\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uad00\uc138\uac00 \uc18c\ube44 \ub454\ud654 \uc774\ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4”"},"content":{"rendered":"

| \uad00\uc138 \uacf5\ud3ec\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4, \uc870\uae30 \uc120\uc801 \uc5f0\uc774\uc5b4… \uc218\uc785 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d
\n| \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44 \uc99d\uac00, 23\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900… \uc5f0\ubc29 \uc815\ubd80 \uc9c0\ucd9c\ub3c4 ‘\uc815\ubd80 \uac1c\ud601’ \uba85\ubd84\uc73c\ub85c \uce7c\uc9c8\ub3fc<\/h3>\n

<\uac1c\uc694><\/strong>
\n2025\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 0.3% \uc5ed\uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 30\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac01) \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \uc800\ub110\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud568. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 2022\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uac83\uc784. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uace0\uc728 \uad00\uc138 \ub3c4\uc785\uc774 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc778\uc73c\ub85c, \uc218\uc785 \uae09\uc99d\uacfc \uc18c\ube44 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uacb9\uccd0 GDP\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uc784. \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ud63c\ub780\uacfc \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud588\uace0, \uc77c\ubd80\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \uc804\ub9dd \uc608\uce21\ub9c8\uc800 \ucca0\ud68c\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc720\ubcf4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

<\uad6c\uccb4\uc801 \ub0b4\uc6a9><\/strong>
\n\ubbf8 \uc0c1\ubb34\ubd80\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2025\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)\uc740 \uc5f0\uc728 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c -0.3%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud568. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc600\ub358 0.4% \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud06c\uac8c \ubabb \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc218\uce58\ub85c, 2022\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc774\ud6c4 \uccab \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uc131\uc7a5\uc784.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc5ed\uc131\uc7a5\uc740 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uace0\uc728 \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ubcf8\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\ub3d9\ud55c \uc2dc\uae30\uc640 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 \uc788\uc73c\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc9d0. \ud2b9\ud788 \uad00\uc138 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc6b0\ub824\ud55c \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc758 \uc870\uae30 \uc218\uc785 \ud655\ub300\uac00 GDP \uc0b0\ucd9c \ubc29\uc2dd\uc0c1 \ubd80\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce68.<\/p>\n

\ud2b9\ud788 \uc21c\uc218\ucd9c(\uc218\ucd9c-\uc218\uc785)\uc774 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 5%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ub77d\uc2dc\ud0a8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc74c. \uc774\ub294 1947\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubd84\uae30 \uae30\uc900 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc9d0. \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \uad00\uc138 \ud68c\ud53c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uc55e\ub2f9\uaca8 \uc218\uc785\uc744 \ub298\ub838\uace0, \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uc218\uc785 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud568.<\/p>\n

\ubbfc\uac04 \uc18c\ube44\ub294 1.8% \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uba74\uc11c 2023\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc815\ubd80 \uc9c0\ucd9c\ub3c4 \uc815\ubd80 \ud6a8\uc728\uc131 \uac1c\ud3b8 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uc77c\ud658\uc73c\ub85c \uace0\uc6a9\uacfc \uacc4\uc57d \ucd95\uc18c\uac00 \uc774\ub904\uc838 \uac10\uc18c\ud568. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubbfc\uac04 \ub0b4\uc218 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c ‘\ucd5c\uc885 \ubbfc\uac04 \ud310\ub9e4’\ub294 3% \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc218\uc694 \uc790\uccb4\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a8.<\/p>\n

\"\"
\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubc14\uc774\ub4e0 \uc804 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ucc45\uc784\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \uac8c\uc2dc\ubb3c \/ \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \ud2b8\ub8e8\uc2a4\uc18c\uc15c \uacc4\uc815<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\ud55c\ud3b8 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ub0ae\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 “\ubc14\uc774\ub4e0\uc758 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774\ub2e4”\ub77c\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ucc45\uc784\uc744 \uc804\uc784 \uc815\ubd80<\/a>\uc5d0 \ub3cc\ub838\uace0, \uc77c\ubd80 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 1\uc6d4\uc740 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ucde8\uc784 \uc774\uc804\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ub9cc\ud07c \uc591\uce21 \ubaa8\ub450 \ucc45\uc784 \uc18c\uc7ac\uac00 \ubd84\uba85\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud568. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ubc14\uc774\ub4e0 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\ubb34\ud588\ub358 \uc81c\ub7ec\ub4dc \ubc88\uc2a4\ud0c0\uc778(Jared Bernstein) \uc804 \ubc31\uc545\uad00 \uacbd\uc81c\uc790\ubb38\uc704\uc6d0\uc7a5\uc740 “\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \uad00\uc138\uac00 GDP \ud558\ub77d\uc758 \uc911\uc2ec”\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud568.<\/p>\n

\uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uacbd\uc81c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd04. \ubb34\ub514\uc2a4\uc758 \uc218\uc11d \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8 \ub9c8\ud06c \uc794\ub514(Mark Zandi)\ub294 “1\ubd84\uae30 GDP\ub294 \uc57d\uac04 \uacfc\uc7a5\ub41c \uc5ed\uc131\uc7a5\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2e4\uc81c \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc57d\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc”\ub77c\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud558\uba74\uc11c, “\uad00\uc138\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba74 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5ed\uc131\uc7a5\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uace0 \uace0\uc6a9 \uac10\uc18c\ub3c4 \ubd88\uac00\ud53c\ud558\ub2e4”\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud568.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uad00\uc138 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. 2025\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 S&P500\uacfc \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uc740 \ubaa8\ub450 2022\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc545\uc758 \uc2e4\uc801\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc74c. \ub178\uc5d8 \uc6d4\ub9ac\uc2a4(Noel Wallace) \ucf5c\uac8c\uc774\ud2b8-\ud31c\uc62c\ub9ac\ube0c \ucd5c\uace0\uacbd\uc601\uc790(CEO)\ub294 \u201c\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ub97c \ubd88\uc548\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uace0, \ud3c9\uc18c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub35c \uc0ac\uace0, \uc7ac\uace0\ub3c4 \uc904\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4”\uace0 \ubc1d\ud798.<\/p>\n

\ub300\uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4 \ub610\ud55c \ud63c\ub780\uc744 \uacaa\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. GM\uc740 2025\ub144 \uc218\uc775 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ucca0\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ud568. \ub610 \ud398\ub371\uc2a4\u00b7\ud3a9\uc2dc\u00b7\uc544\uba54\ub9ac\uce78\ud56d\uacf5 \ub4f1 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc694 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \uc77c\uad00\uc131 \uc5c6\ub294 \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\uacfc\uc640 \uc720\uc608\uac00 \uc790\uc2e0\ub4e4\uc758 \uc0ac\uc5c5 \uacc4\ud68d \uc218\ub9bd\uc744 \ubc29\ud574\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\uc74c. \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc0c1\ubb34\ubd80\ub294 3\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc9c0\ucd9c\uc774 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ub294 \uad00\uc138 \uc804 \uad6c\ub9e4\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc218\uc694\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ub428.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub294 \uad00\uc138\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uacfc \uc18c\ube44 \uc704\ucd95 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ucc45 \uc120\ud0dd\uc774 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud798. \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 “\ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc5c5 \uc99d\uac00\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4”\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ub09c\uad00\uc744 \uc608\uace0\ud568.<\/p>\n

<\uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810><\/strong>
\n\uc774\ubc88 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc5ed\uc131\uc7a5\uc740 \uad00\uc138\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \ud30c\uae09\ub825\uc744 \ub2e8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\ub85c, \ubcf4\ud638\ubb34\uc5ed\uc774 \uc624\ud788\ub824 \ub0b4\uc218 \uc18c\ube44\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc744 \ud6fc\uc190\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud568. \uc5f0\ubc29\uc815\ubd80\uc640 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ubaa8\ub450 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uade0\ud615 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc720\uc5f0\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uc870\uc728\uc774 \uc694\uad6c\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc784.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

| \uad00\uc138 \uacf5\ud3ec\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4, \uc870\uae30 \uc120\uc801 \uc5f0\uc774\uc5b4… \uc218\uc785 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d | \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44 \uc99d\uac00, 23\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900… \uc5f0\ubc29 \uc815\ubd80 \uc9c0\ucd9c\ub3c4 ‘\uc815\ubd80 \uac1c\ud601’ \uba85\ubd84\uc73c\ub85c \uce7c\uc9c8\ub3fc <\uac1c\uc694> 2025\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 0.3% \uc5ed\uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 30\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac01) \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \uc800\ub110\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud568. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 2022\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uac83\uc784. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uace0\uc728 \uad00\uc138 \ub3c4\uc785\uc774 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":98,"featured_media":13894,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,612],"tags":[1217,810,310,58,4548,4549,1951,214],"class_list":{"0":"post-25479","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-sanction","8":"category-usa","9":"tag-1217","10":"tag-810","11":"tag-310","12":"tag-58","13":"tag-4548","14":"tag-4549","15":"tag-1951","16":"tag-214"},"yoast_head":"\n1\ubd84\uae30 \u7f8e GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 -0.3% \uae30\ub85d... "\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uad00\uc138\uac00 \uc18c\ube44 \ub454\ud654 \uc774\ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4" SanctionLab<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"2025\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 0.3% \uc5ed\uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 30\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac01) \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \uc800\ub110\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud568. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 2022\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uac83\uc784. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uace0\uc728 \uad00\uc138 \ub3c4\uc785\uc774 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc778\uc73c\ub85c, \uc218\uc785 \uae09\uc99d\uacfc...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=25479\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"1\ubd84\uae30 \u7f8e GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 -0.3% \uae30\ub85d... 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