{"id":25830,"date":"2025-05-13T06:19:52","date_gmt":"2025-05-12T21:19:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=25830"},"modified":"2025-05-20T09:07:55","modified_gmt":"2025-05-20T00:07:55","slug":"%ec%8b%ac%ec%b8%b5%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d-%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%ad-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81%ec%9d%84-%eb%84%98%ec%96%b4-%ec%b2%b4%ec%a0%9c-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%eb%b2%a0%ec%9d%b4%ec%a7%95%ec%9d%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=25830","title":{"rendered":"[\uc2ec\uce35\ubd84\uc11d] \ubb34\uc5ed \uc804\uc7c1\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4 \uccb4\uc81c \uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c: \ubca0\uc774\uc9d5\uc758 \ub3c4\uc804, \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc758 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"
\ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790 \uc8fc: \ubcf8\uae00\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud5c8\ub4dc\uc2a8 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c(The Hudson Institute)\uc5d0 \uac8c\uc7ac\ub41c ‘\uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubc0f \uc11c\ubc29\uacfc\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc804\uc7c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0b4\uc544\ub0a8\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b8 \uac83(China Will Struggle to Survive a Protracted Battle with the US and the West<\/a>)’\uc744 \uc694\uc57d \uc815\ub9ac\ud55c \uac83\uc784.<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

\uc0c1\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uad00\uc138\uc640 \ubca0\uc774\uc9d5\uc758 \ubc18\uaca9<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\uc9c0\ub09c 4\uc6d421\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac01) \uc911\uad6d \uc0c1\ubb34\ubd80\ub294 \uc138\uacc4 \uac01\uad6d\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uccb4\uacb0\ud558\ub294 \uc77c\uc774 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uce68\ud574\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub3c4\ub85d \uacbd\uace0\ud558\ub294 \uc131\uba85\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c<\/a>\ud568. \uc774\ub294 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 “\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc911\uad6d \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc120\ud0dd\ud558\ub77c”\ub294 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \ud55c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ub098\uc628 \uc870\uce58\ub85c, \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc81c3\uad6d\uc744 \uacbd\uc720\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\ucd9c\uc744 \uc6b0\ud68c\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ucc28\ub2e8\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uad00\uc138 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ubc31\uc545\uad00 \ub0b4\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c \ub17c\uc758 \uc911\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc5b8\ub860 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \ubc18\uc751\ud568:<\/p>\n

“\uc774\ub7f0 \uc77c\uc774 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4\uba74, \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc808\ub300 \uc218\uc6a9\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\uace0 \ubc18\ub4dc\uc2dc \uc0c1\ud638\uc801 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.”<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uad00\uc138\uc728 \ub17c\uc7c1\uc774\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c \ud611\uc815 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4, 21\uc138\uae30\ud615 \uc2e0\ub0c9\uc804 \uad6c\ub3c4\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc911\uad6d \uacf5\uc0b0\ub2f9 \uac04 \uc9c4\uc601 \uc120\ud0dd\uc744 \uc694\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc785\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud568.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub808\ubc84\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc640 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ucde8\uc57d\uc810<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \ub300\uc911 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc804\uc7c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc787\uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc911\uad6d GDP\uc758 \uc57d 20%\uac00 \uc218\ucd9c\uc5d0 \uc758\uc874\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uace0, 2023\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \uc911\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc57d 1\uc5b52000\ub9cc \uac1c \uc911 \ucd5c\uc18c 1000\ub9cc~2000\ub9cc \uac1c\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc218\ucd9c\uacfc \uc9c1\uacb0\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ubb38\uc81c\uc784(\uace8\ub4dc\ub9cc\uc0ad\uc2a4 \ucd94\uc815). \ub610\ud55c \uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551 \uc8fc\uc11d\uc740 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uc18c\ube44 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc801\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad00\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ud68c\ud53c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uad6c\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810 \uc5ed\uc2dc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uad6c\uc870\uc784.<\/p>\n

\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uad00\uc138 \uc804\uc7c1\uc758 \uc774\uc810\uc740 \uc624\ub798\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c. \uad00\uc138\ub294 \ud574\uc678 \uc218\ucd9c\uc790\ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc790\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub3c4 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 ‘\ubb34\ub518 \ub3c4\uad6c’\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc784. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \ubcf4\ub294 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \uc911\uad6d \ub54c\ubb38\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9ce\uc774 \uc4f0\uc774\ub294 \uae30\ucd95\ud1b5\ud654\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\uae30\ub3c4 \ud568.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc790\uad6d \ub0b4 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc744 \uba87 \ub2ec \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ub418\uc0b4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc5c6\uace0, \uc911\uad6d \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc218\ucd9c \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\ub97c \ub2f9\uc7a5 \uc904\uc77c \uc218 \uc5c6\uc74c. \uacb0\uad6d \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uae09\uc99d\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud558\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubc0f \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ud63c\ub780\uc744 \uc9c1\uba74\ud558\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc784. \uc138\uacc4\ub294 \uacb0\uad6d \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc774 \uba3c\uc800 \ubc31\uae30\ub97c \ub4dc\ub294\uc9c0 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc784.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d\uc744 \ub5bc\uc5b4\ub0b4\uae30<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ud669 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551 \uc8fc\uc11d\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\u00b7\uc815\uce58\u00b7\uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc73c\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d\uc744 \uc774\ud0c8\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ud574\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc911\uad6d\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 GDP\ub294 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc758 44%, \ubb34\uc5ed\uc740 64%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ub294\ub370, \uadf8\uc911\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc720\ub7fd\uc5f0\ud569(EU)\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc784. \uc911\uad6d \ud478\ub2e8\ub300 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc EU\uac00 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 ‘\ucc3d\uad6c(window)’\uac00 \uc5f4\ub838\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uba70, \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc678\uad50\uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uc720\ub7fd \uc5f0\ud569\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc989, \ubb34\uc5ed \uc804\uc7c1\uc740 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uac04\uc5d0 \uc804\uac1c\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc2e0\ub0c9\uc804\uc758 \ud55c \uc804\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud568. \ucd5c\uc885 \uc2b9\uc790\ub294 \ub2e8 \ud558\ub098\ubfd0\uc774\uba70, \uc26c\uc6b4 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\ub294 \uc5c6\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ub51c\ub808\ub9c8<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\uc774\ub860\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc784. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacbd\uc81c \uc704\uc0c1\uc744 \uc9c0\ub81b\ub300\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ubd88\uacf5\uc815 \ubb34\uc5ed \uad00\ud589\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc81c\uc7ac\ub97c \uac00\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc784.\u00a0\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uadf8 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d\uc5d0\uac8c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc81c\uc7ac \uc218\ub2e8\uc744 \ud655\uc7a5\ud558\uac8c \ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud611\ub825 \ub300\uc2e0 \ubc18\uac10\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \uc545\uc758\uc801\uc778 \ud589\uc704\uc790(\uc911\uad6d \uacf5\uc0b0\ub2f9)\uc5d0 \uac00\ud558\ub294 \uc555\ubc15 \uc804\uc220\uc744 \ub3d9\ub9f9\uc5d0\uac8c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \ub3d9\ub9f9\uc744 \uc783\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc784.<\/p>\n

“\ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d\uc744 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ud611\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub0c9\uc804\uc744 \uc774\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uac00?” \uc774 \uc9c8\ubb38\uc758 \ub2f5\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc 21\uc138\uae30 \uad6d\uc81c\uc9c8\uc11c\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud560 \uac83\uc784.<\/p>\n

\uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ud504\ub808\uc784 \uc804\ud658\uc758 \ud544\uc694\uc131<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ub2e8\uc9c0 \uad00\uc138\ub9cc \ud718\ub450\ub974\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubd80\uc871\ud568. \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ud655\uc7a5\uc774 \uc0dd\uc874\uacfc \uc790\uc720\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2e4\uc874\uc801 \uc704\ud611\uc784\uc744 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ubbfc\uacfc \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc124\ub4dd\ud574\uc57c \ud568.\u00a0\ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uac08\ub4f1\uc744 \ub2e8\uc9c0 \ubb34\uc5ed \ubd84\uc7c1\uc758 \ud2c0\ub85c\ub9cc \ud574\uc11d\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \ud328\ubc30\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub354 \ud070 \uc704\ud611 \ud504\ub808\uc784\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud558\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ubbfc\uc758 \uacb0\uc758\uc640 \ub3d9\ub9f9\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74, \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc2b9\uae30\ub97c \uc7a1\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uad00\uc138 \ub108\uba38\uc758 \uc218\ub2e8 \ud544\uc694<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\uc774 \ubb34\uc5ed \uc804\uc7c1\uc740 \uad00\uc138\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uad00\uc138\uc5d0\uc11c \ub05d\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc784.\u00a0\uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc0b0 \ud76c\ud1a0\ub958 \uad11\ubb3c \uc218\ucd9c \uc81c\ud55c\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uac00\ud558\ub294 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \ucde8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uad6d \uae30\uc5c5 \uc0c1\uc7a5\ud3d0\uc9c0, \uc911\uad6d \uc740\ud589 \uc81c\uc7ac \ub4f1\uc758 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ub9de\ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uacb0\ub860: \uc138\ub300\uc801 \uc804\ud658\uae30\uc5d0 \uac78\ub9de\ub294 \uc9c0\ub3c4\ub825\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud568<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 \ubd84\uba85\ud55c \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\uc640 \uc9c4\uc2e4\ud55c \uc11c\uc220\ub85c \uc911\uad6d \uacf5\uc0b0\ub2f9\uc758 \uc2e4\uccb4\ub97c \uad6d\ubbfc\uc5d0\uac8c \uc804\ub2ec\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74, \uadf8\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc124\uacc4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc784. \uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551\uc740 \uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub450\ub824\uc6cc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.\u00a0\uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ubb34\uc5ed \uc804\uc7c1\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubc84\ud2f8 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0\ub3c4 \ubaa8\ub974\ub098, \uc7a5\uae30\uc801 \uc2e0\ub0c9\uc804\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2b9\ub9ac\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uccb4\uc81c\ub97c \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790 \uc8fc: \ubcf8\uae00\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud5c8\ub4dc\uc2a8 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c(The Hudson Institute)\uc5d0 \uac8c\uc7ac\ub41c ‘\uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubc0f \uc11c\ubc29\uacfc\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc804\uc7c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0b4\uc544\ub0a8\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b8 \uac83(China Will Struggle to Survive a Protracted Battle with the US and the West)’\uc744 \uc694\uc57d \uc815\ub9ac\ud55c \uac83\uc784.   \uc0c1\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uad00\uc138\uc640 \ubca0\uc774\uc9d5\uc758 \ubc18\uaca9 \uc9c0\ub09c 4\uc6d421\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac01) \uc911\uad6d \uc0c1\ubb34\ubd80\ub294 \uc138\uacc4 \uac01\uad6d\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uccb4\uacb0\ud558\ub294 \uc77c\uc774 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uce68\ud574\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub3c4\ub85d \uacbd\uace0\ud558\ub294 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