{"id":25849,"date":"2025-05-13T06:33:22","date_gmt":"2025-05-12T21:33:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=25849"},"modified":"2025-05-20T09:10:16","modified_gmt":"2025-05-20T00:10:16","slug":"%ec%8b%ac%ec%b8%b5%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d-%ea%b0%90%ec%84%b8%ec%9d%98-%ea%b7%b8%eb%a6%bc%ec%9e%90-%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85%ec%9d%b4-%ed%82%a4%ec%9a%b0%eb%8a%94-%ec%8c%8d%eb%91%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=25849","title":{"rendered":"[\uc2ec\uce35\ubd84\uc11d] \uac10\uc138\uc758 \uadf8\ub9bc\uc790: \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ud0a4\uc6b0\ub294 \uc30d\ub465\uc774 \uc801\uc790"},"content":{"rendered":"
\ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790 \uc8fc: \ubcf8 \uae00\uc740 \uc81c\uc774\uc2a8 \ud384\uba3c(Jason Furman) \ud558\ubc84\ub4dc \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uacfc \uad50\uc218\uac00 \ub274\uc695 \ud0c0\uc784\uc988(New York Times)\uc5d0 \uae30\uace0\ud55c ‘\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\uc758 \uc6d0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc804\ud600 \ubaa8\ub978\ub2e4\ub294 \uc99d\uac70(Proof Trump Has No Idea How the Trade Deficit Works<\/a>)’\uc744 \uc694\uc57d \uc815\ub9ac\ud55c \uac83\uc784. \ud384\uba3c\uc740 \ud558\ubc84\ub4dc\ub300\ud559\uad50 \uacbd\uc81c\uc815\ucc45 \uad50\uc218\uc774\uc790, 2013\ub144\ubd80\ud130 2017\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ubc14\ub9c8 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 \ubc31\uc545\uad00 \uacbd\uc81c\uc790\ubb38\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c \uc704\uc6d0\uc7a5\uc744 \uc5ed\uc784\ud588\uc74c.<\/h6>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"
\uc81c\uc774\uc2a8 \ud384\uba3c\/Flickr<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

 <\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc9d1\uad8c \ucd08\uae30\ubd80\ud130 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc138\uae08 \uac10\uba74\uc744 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud574\uc654\uc74c. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc758\ud68c\uc5d0 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uac10\uc138\uc548\uc744 \ud1b5\uacfc\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub3c4\ub85d \uc694\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \ub370\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ube44\ud310\uc774 \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uadf8 \uc911 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc774\ub4e4\uc774 \uac04\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubb38\uc81c \ud558\ub098\ub294 \ubc14\ub85c \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uc640 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\ub294 \uc11c\ub85c \ubc00\uc811\ud558\uac8c \uc5f0\uacb0\ub418\uc5b4\uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc784. \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\ub3c4 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294\ub370, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uba85\ubd84\uc73c\ub85c \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c\ub97c \ud63c\ub780\uc5d0 \ube60\ub728\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \uc2e4\uc0c1\uc740 \uadf8 \uc801\uc790\ub97c \ub354 \ud0a4\uc6b0\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uc640 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\uc758 \uad00\uacc4<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uc218\uc785\ud558\uace0, \uadf8 \ub300\uae08\uc744 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub85c \uc9c0\uae09\ud568. \uadf8\ub7f0\ub370 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc678\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc4f8 \uc218 \uc5c6\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \uc218\ucd9c\uad6d\uc740 \uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0 \uc7ac\ud22c\uc790\ud558\uac8c \ub428. \uc77c\ubd80\ub294 \ubbfc\uac04 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc13c\ud130 \uac74\uc124, \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4 \uc124\ube44 \ud655\uc7a5, \uc544\ud30c\ud2b8 \uac1c\ubc1c \ub4f1\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ub418\uace0, \ub098\uba38\uc9c0\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uad6d\ucc44\ub098 \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \ucc44\uad8c \uad6c\ub9e4\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\uc5b4 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\ub97c \uba54\uc6b0\ub294 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud568.<\/p>\n

\uac10\uc138 \u2192 \uc18c\ube44 \uc99d\uac00 \u2192 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790 \ud655\ub300<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ub9cc\uc57d \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4\uba74, \uc774\ub860\uc0c1 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \uc0ac\ub4e4\uc5ec \ubcf4\uc804\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbfc\uac04 \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc784. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uc678\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud574\uc9c0\uace0, \uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uac10\uc138\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uc218\uc785 \uad6c\ub9e4\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc0dd\uae38 \uac83\uc784. \uc989, \ub3c5\uc77c\ucc28, \uc911\uad6d \uc804\uc790\uc81c\ud488, \uc218\uc785 \ub9e5\uc8fc \ub4f1\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\ub0a0\uc218\ub85d \uc678\uad6d\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0 \uc7ac\ud22c\uc790\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ucd95\uc801\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc784.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ud658\uc728 \ud6a8\uacfc<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uba74 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \uc870\ub2ec\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9d0. \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uac8c \ub418\ub294\ub370 \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\ud488\uc740 \ud574\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \ube44\uc2f8\uc9c0\uace0, \uc678\uad6d \uc81c\ud488\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \uc800\ub834\ud574\uc9d0. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc740 \uc904\uace0 \uc218\uc785\uc740 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\ub294 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc2ec\ud654\ub428.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc7ac\uc815\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc218\uc704<\/strong><\/h4>\n

2024\ub144 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\ub294 1\uc8708000\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 2515\uc870\uc6d0), \uc989 GDP\uc758 6%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\uc74c. \uc774\ub294 2\ucc28 \uc138\uacc4\ub300\uc804, 2008\ub144 \uae08\uc735\uc704\uae30, \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \ud32c\ub370\ubbf9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud558\uba74 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uce58\uc784. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc758\ud68c\uc608\uc0b0\ucc98(CBO)\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 10\ub144\uac04 \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \uac10\uc138\uc548\uc774 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub418\uba74 2034\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubd80\ucc44\uac00 7\uc870 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 9770\uc870\uc6d0) \uc774\uc0c1 \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\ub294 GDP\uc758 8% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc138\uc218 \uac10\uc18c + \uc138\ubb34\ud589\uc815 \uc57d\ud654<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \uc815\ubd80 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c\ub294 \ube44(\u975e)\uc774\uc790 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc774 \uc791\ub144 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04\ubcf4\ub2e4 9% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc74c. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uad6d\uc138\uccad(IRS) \uc778\ub825\uc740 \ub300\ud3ed \uac10\ucd95\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc138\uae08 \uc9d5\uc218\uac00 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uad00\uc138 \uc218\uc785\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc774 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\ub97c \uba54\uc6b0\uae30\uc5d0 \ud131\uc5c6\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud558\uace0, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 \uc81c\uc548\ud55c \uc608\uc0b0\uc548\uc758 \uc9c0\ucd9c \uc0ad\uac10\ub3c4 \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc784.<\/p>\n

\ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\uc758 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uac00 GDP \ub300\ube44 2%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba74 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790(\ub610\ub294 \uacbd\uc0c1\uc218\uc9c0 \uc801\uc790)\ub3c4 \ud1b5\uc0c1\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 2%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098 4%\uc5d0\uc11c 6%\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uc22b\uc790 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc678\ubd80 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucde8\uc57d\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0 \uc678\uad6d \ucc44\ubb34 \uc0c1\ud658\uc73c\ub85c \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc18c\ube44 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \uc800\ud558\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774\ub420 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790 \ub098\uc05c \uac83\uc778\uac00?<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\ub294 \ubcf8\uc9c8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc05c \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2d8. \uc218\uc785\uc740 \uad6d\ubbfc\uc5d0\uac8c \ud61c\ud0dd\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0, \uc591\uad6d \uac04\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 \ubd88\uade0\ud615\uc740 \uc790\uc5f0\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud604\uc0c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \ub2e4\uc774\uc544\ubaac\ub4dc\ub97c \uc218\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \ub808\uc18c\ud1a0\uc640\ub294 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\ub97c \ubcf4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ud544\uc694\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc5d0\ub294 \ubb34\uc5ed\ud751\uc790\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \uc801\uc790\ub294 \ubd84\uba85\ud55c \ubb38\uc81c<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc9c0\ub098\uce5c \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\ub294 \uc678\uad6d \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \uc758\uc874\uc744 \uc57c\uae30\ud558\uace0, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub354 \ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uac8c \ub428. \ub610\ud55c \ubbf8\ub798\uc5d0\ub294 \uc678\ucc44 \uc0c1\ud658 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc0dd\ud65c\uc218\uc900 \uc800\ud558\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \ud544\uc790\ub294 GDP \ub300\ube44 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\uac00 3~6%\uba74 ‘\uc124\uba85\uc774 \ud544\uc694’\ud558\uace0, 6%\ub97c \ub118\uc73c\uba74 ‘\uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ubb38\uc81c’\ub85c \uac04\uc8fc\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ub9dd\ud568. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \uac10\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc744 \uc774 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc218\uc704\ub85c \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \ub04c\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uacb0\ub860: \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \ub354 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uc9c0 \ub9d0\uc544\uc57c<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\ub294 \ub0b4\ubd80 \uc694\uc778, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uacb0\uacfc\uc784. \uc774\ub97c \ud574\uacb0\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc2a4\uc2a4\ub85c\uc758 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0, \uc7ac\uc815 \uac74\uc804\uc131\uc744 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \uac83\uc784. \ucd5c\uc18c\ud55c\uc774\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc758\ud68c\ub294 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc801\uc790\ub97c \ud655\ub300\uc2dc\ud0a4\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc120\ud0dd, \uc989 \uac10\uc138 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \uc790\uc81c\ud568\uc73c\ub85c\uc368 \uc0c1\ud669 \uc545\ud654\ub97c \ub9c9\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud568.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790 \uc8fc: \ubcf8 \uae00\uc740 \uc81c\uc774\uc2a8 \ud384\uba3c(Jason Furman) \ud558\ubc84\ub4dc \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uacfc \uad50\uc218\uac00 \ub274\uc695 \ud0c0\uc784\uc988(New York Times)\uc5d0 \uae30\uace0\ud55c ‘\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\uc758 \uc6d0\ub9ac\ub97c \uc804\ud600 \ubaa8\ub978\ub2e4\ub294 \uc99d\uac70(Proof Trump Has No Idea How the Trade Deficit Works)’\uc744 \uc694\uc57d \uc815\ub9ac\ud55c \uac83\uc784. \ud384\uba3c\uc740 \ud558\ubc84\ub4dc\ub300\ud559\uad50 \uacbd\uc81c\uc815\ucc45 \uad50\uc218\uc774\uc790, 2013\ub144\ubd80\ud130 2017\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ubc14\ub9c8 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 \ubc31\uc545\uad00 \uacbd\uc81c\uc790\ubb38\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c \uc704\uc6d0\uc7a5\uc744 \uc5ed\uc784\ud588\uc74c.     \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc9d1\uad8c \ucd08\uae30\ubd80\ud130 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc138\uae08 \uac10\uba74\uc744 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud574\uc654\uc74c. 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