{"id":27176,"date":"2025-05-17T09:55:22","date_gmt":"2025-05-17T00:55:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=27176"},"modified":"2025-05-19T07:29:54","modified_gmt":"2025-05-18T22:29:54","slug":"%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ec%a4%91%ea%b5%ad%ec%82%b0-%ec%a0%9c%ed%92%88%ec%97%90-%eb%8c%80%ed%95%9c-30-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8-2025%eb%85%84-%eb%a7%90%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ed%95%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=27176","title":{"rendered":"\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504, \uc911\uad6d\uc0b0 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c 30% \uad00\uc138 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \ub4ef\u2026 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4 \u201c\uc911\uad6d \uc218\ucd9c 70% \ud0c0\uaca9 \uc804\ub9dd\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>|\ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac \uacb0\uacfc, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 2\uae30 \uad00\uc138\uc815\ucc45 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ucca0\ud68c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ub0ae\uc544\u2026 \uc704\uc548\ud654\u00b7\uc911\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ud655\ub300<\/h3>\n<p>\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \ubd80\uacfc\ud55c \uc911\uad6d\uc0b0 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uace0\uc728 \uad00\uc138\uac00 90\uc77c\uac04\uc758 \uc77c\uc2dc \ud734\uc804 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc218\ucd9c \ud0c0\uaca9\uacfc \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \uacac\ub38c\uc57c \ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p>\ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8\uac00 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544, \uc720\ub7fd, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc790\uc0b0\uc6b4\uc6a9\uc0ac \ubc0f \uae08\uc735\uae30\uad00 \uad00\uacc4\uc790 22\uba85\uc744 \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc2dc\ud55c <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/trump-china-tariffs-seen-staying-000204159.html\">\uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac<\/a>\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ud604\uc7ac 30%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uc0b0 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc74c. \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc911\uad6d \uac04 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc778 \ud574\ube59 \ubb34\ub4dc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \ubb34\uc5ed\uc7a5\ubcbd\uc774 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud568.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>90\uc77c \uad00\uc138 \ud734\uc804\uc740 \uc2dc\uc791\u2026 \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ubbf8\uc9c0\uc218<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c 14\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac01)\ubd80\ud130 90\uc77c \uac04 \uc0c1\ud638 \ubd80\uacfc \uad00\uc138\ub97c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc644\ud654\ud558\uae30\ub85c \ud569\uc758\ud588\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub97c \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc751\ud568. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc870\uce58\ub97c &#8220;\ud611\uc0c1\uc6a9 \uc2dc\uac04 \ubc8c\uae30\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud558\ub2e4&#8221;\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf9\uc2a4\ub294 30%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud558\ub294 \uad00\uc138\uc728\uc774 \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ubbf8 \uc218\ucd9c\uc758 \uc57d 70%\ub97c \uc0ac\ub77c\uc9c0\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud568.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>\ubb34\uc5ed\ud569\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \ub0ae\uc544\u2026 \u201c\ud45c\uba74\uc801 \ud0c0\ud611\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uac83\u201d<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>DNB\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ucf08\ub9ac \uccb8(Kelly Chen) \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub294 \u201c\uc591\uad6d\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc785\uc7a5\uc774 2026\ub144 \uc911\uac04\uc120\uac70 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\uae30\ub294 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b8 \uac83\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uba70, \u201c\uc774\ubc88 \ud611\uc0c1\uc740 \ud53c\uc0c1\uc801\uc778 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud568.<\/p>\n<p>\uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac \uc751\ub2f5\uc790 \uc911 7\uba85\uc740 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc774\ub0b4 \uad00\uc138\uc728\uc774 30% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uac83\uc774\ub77c \ubcf4\uc558\uc73c\ub098, 6\uba85\uc740 \uc624\ud788\ub824 \uc778\uc0c1\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud568. \ucd5c\uc885\uc801\uc778 \ubb34\uc5ed\ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uad00\uc138\ub294 20% \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc911\uac04\uac12 \uc608\uce21\ub3c4 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub428.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 1\uae30 \uad00\uc138\ub294 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\u2026 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uae30\ubc18 \uace0\ub824<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\uc751\ub2f5\uc790 \ub300\ub2e4\uc218\ub294 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 1\uae30 \uc9d1\uad8c \ub2f9\uc2dc \ubd80\uacfc\ud55c \ud3c9\uade0 \uc57d 12%\uc758 \uad00\uc138\ub294 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud568. \uc774\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uad00\uc138\uac00 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uce35\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \u2018\uac15\uacbd\ud55c \ubb34\uc5ed\uc815\ucc45\u2019\uc758 \uc0c1\uc9d5\uc73c\ub85c \uac04\uc8fc\ub418\uace0, \ucca0\ud68c \uc2dc \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ud074 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc784.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>\uc704\uc548\ud654, \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5, \ucc44\uad8c\uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1 \uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc911\uad6d \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ub428. 17\uba85\uc758 \uc751\ub2f5\uc790 \uc911 \ub2e4\uc218\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc704\uc548\ud654 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub2f9 7.2\uc704\uc548 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uad6d \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc790\ubcf8 \uc720\ucd9c\uc744 \ub9c9\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc801\uadf9\uc801 \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uac83\uc784.<\/p>\n<p>\uc544\ubc84\ub518 \ud22c\uc790\uc0ac(Aberdeen Investment)\uc758 \ub85c\ubc84\ud2b8 \uae38\ud6cc\ub9ac(Robert Gilhully)\ub294 \u201c\uad00\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ub274\uc2a4\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc904\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uacb0\uad6d\uc5d0\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \uc808\ud558\ub97c \uc6a9\uc778\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud568. \uadf8\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uad00\uc138\uac00 50%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub97c \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\uacac\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud568.<\/p>\n<p>\ud55c\ud3b8, CSI 300(\uc911\uad6d \ubcf8\ud1a0 \uc8fc\uc2dd) \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc57d 2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 4000\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \uc218\ucd9c\uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc758 \uc870\uae30 \ucd9c\ud558 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uae30\uc220\uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc911\uc2ec \uad6c\uc870 \uc804\ud658\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uacac\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc784. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc911\uad6d 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 1.7% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \ud604\uc7ac\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub428.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>\uc911\uad6d\uc758 4\uc6d4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\u2026 \uad00\uc138 \uc5ec\ud30c \ubcf8\uaca9\ud654<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\uacf5\uc2dd \ud1b5\uacc4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 4\uc6d4 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 5.9% \uc99d\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uadf8\uccd0 3\uc6d4(7.7%)\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc784. \uc218\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uacfc \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc9c0\uc218 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uad00\uc138 \ucda9\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\ud654\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ub428. \ubc18\uba74, \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\ub294 6% \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba70 \ub0b4\uc218 \uc18c\ube44\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ub428. \uace0\uc815\uc790\uc0b0 \ud22c\uc790 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\ub3c4 4.3%\ub85c, \uc804\uc6d4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc784.<\/p>\n<p>\ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf9\uc2a4\ub294 \u201c\uc774\ubc88 4\uc6d4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\ub294 \uad00\uc138 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ubcf8\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub420 \uac83\uc774\uace0, \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uacfc \uc218\ucd9c, \ubb34\uc5ed \uad00\ub828 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c \ud0c0\uaca9\uc774 \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc9c8 \uac83\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud568.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>\u201c\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc2dd \uc608\uce21\uc740 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc5c6\ub2e4\u201d\u2026 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc804\ubb38\uac00, \uc815\ucc45 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uacbd\uace0<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>EFG \uc790\uc0b0\uc6b4\uc6a9\uc758 \uc0d8 \uc694\ud0b4(Sam Jochim)\uc740 \u201c\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 1\uae30 \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \ud569\uc758\ub3c4 \uc808\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4\u201d\uba70, \u201c\ubbf8\uad6d \ubb34\uc5ed\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc911 \ud558\ub098\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud568.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>\uc804\ub9dd \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\uc804\ubb38\uac00 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc885\ud569\ud558\uba74, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubd80\uacfc\ud55c 30% \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc911\uad6d\uc0b0 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uace0\uc728 \uad00\uc138\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uc911 \uac04 \ud574\ube59 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc7a5\ubcbd\uc774 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud568. 90\uc77c \uac04\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \ud734\uc804\uc740 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc870\uce58\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00 \uc18d\uc5d0, \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801 \ubb34\uc5ed \ud569\uc758\ub294 2026\ub144 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uac04\uc120\uac70 \uc774\uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud68c\uc758\ub860\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud568.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad00\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc704\ucd95\uc2dc\ucf1c \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0 \ub454\ud654, \uc704\uc548\ud654 \uc808\ud558 \uc555\ub825, \uc790\uc0b0\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \ub4f1 \uc2e4\ubb3c\uacbd\uc81c\uc640 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uac78\uce5c \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \ud2b9\ud788 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 1\uae30 \uad00\uc138\uc758 \ucca0\ud68c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ub0ae\uc544, \uad00\uc138\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub2a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud568. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc704\uc548\ud654 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub2f9 7.2\uc704\uc548 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 CSI 300\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc815\ucc45 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc \ubbf8\uc911 \uad00\uacc4\uc758 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \ud55c, \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub294 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc784.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>|\ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac \uacb0\uacfc, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 2\uae30 \uad00\uc138\uc815\ucc45 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ucca0\ud68c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \ub0ae\uc544\u2026 \uc704\uc548\ud654\u00b7\uc911\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \ubd80\uacfc\ud55c \uc911\uad6d\uc0b0 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uace0\uc728 \uad00\uc138\uac00 90\uc77c\uac04\uc758 \uc77c\uc2dc \ud734\uc804 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, 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