  {"id":33901,"date":"2025-07-16T04:36:35","date_gmt":"2025-07-15T19:36:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=33901"},"modified":"2025-08-06T07:31:04","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T22:31:04","slug":"%ec%8b%ac%ec%b8%b5%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d-%e6%97%a5%ec%97%b0%ea%b5%ac%ec%86%8c-%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b4-%ec%98%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=33901","title":{"rendered":"[\uc2ec\uce35\ubd84\uc11d] \u65e5\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c &#8220;\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uad00\uc138\uc5d0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558\ud558\uba74 \uc624\ud788\ub824 \uc545\uc601\ud5a5&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>| \u65e5 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4 \uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558\ub85c \ubc84\ud2f0\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6b4\uc1a1\ube44 \ub4f1\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \ub611\uac19\uc544 \uc774\uc775\ub9cc \ud6fc\uc190<br \/>\n| \ub9e4\ucd9c 10% \uc904\uba74 \uc21c\uc775\uc774 30% \uc904\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uac00\uaca9 10% \uc904\uba74 \uc21c\uc775 \ubaa8\ub450 \ub0a0\uc544\uac00<\/h3>\n<h6>\ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790 \uc8fc: \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \ub2e8\ud589\ud55c \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ucda9\uaca9\ud30c\ub97c \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc774\uc5d0 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2db\uc138\uc774\uae30\ucd08\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c(NLI Research Institute)\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c 11\uc77c, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nli-research.co.jp\/files\/topics\/82632_ext_18_0.pdf?site=nli\">&#8216;\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uad00\uc138\uc758 \uc77c\ubcf8\uacbd\uc81c\ub85c\uc758 \ud30c\uae09\uacbd\ub85c&#8217;<\/a>\u00a0\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub97c \ubc1c\ud589\ud574 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc815\ucc45 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uc7ac\ud3b8\uacfc \uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815 \ub4f1 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uc694\uad6c\ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud568.<\/h6>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub300\ubbf8 \uc218\ucd9c\uc740 \ubb3c\ub7c9 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac10\uc18c\ub294 \uc5c6\uc73c\ub098, \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc218\ucd9c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub300\ud3ed \uc778\ud558\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc545\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc18c\ub4dd(GDI)\uc758 \uac10\uc18c\uac00 \ub354 \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc9c0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\uace0, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uad00\uc138 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\ucd9c \ubb3c\ub7c9\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&lt;\uad6c\uccb4\uc801 \ub0b4\uc6a9&gt;<\/strong><\/p>\n<h5>1. \ud604\ud669: \uc218\ucd9c &#8216;\uac00\uaca9&#8217;\uc740 \uae09\uac10, &#8216;\ubb3c\ub7c9&#8217;\uc740 \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \uc911<\/h5>\n<p>\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c 3\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc0b0 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c 25% \ucd94\uac00 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud588\uace0, 6\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc77c\ubd80 \ud488\ubaa9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138\ub97c 50%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud568. \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed \ud1b5\uacc4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 4~5\uc6d4 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \ub300\ubbf8 &#8216;\uc218\ucd9c\uc561&#8217;\uc740 \uac01\uac01 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 -1.8%, -11.0% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc218\ucd9c &#8216;\uc218\ub7c9&#8217;\uc740 4\uc6d4 +1.2%, 5\uc6d4 -1.4%\ub85c \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uc74c. \ud2b9\ud788 5\uc6d4 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc218\ucd9c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 -21.7%\ub85c \uae09\ub77d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc218\ub7c9 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 -3.9% \uac10\uc18c\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\uc74c. \uc774\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728 \uc720\uc9c0\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc778\ud558\ud574 \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ud310\ub9e4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub367\ubd99\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 &#8216;\uc2a4\uc2a4\ub85c \uac10\ub2f9&#8217;\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud0dd\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc784.<\/p>\n<h5>2. \uc0b0\uc5c5\ubcc4 \ub300\uc751\ucc28\uc774: \ucca0\uac15 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc740 \uc218\ucd9c\ub7c9 \uac10\uc18c\ub97c \uc120\ud0dd<\/h5>\n<p>\uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc740 \uad00\uc138 \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\uc740 \ubd84\uc57c\ub85c, \uc218\ucd9c\uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558\ud3ed\uc774 \ud06c\uace0 \uadf8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc218\uc775\uc131 \uc545\ud654\uac00 \uba85\ud655\ud568. \ubc18\uba74, \ucca0\uac15 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc740 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc5c6\uc774 \uc218\ub7c9 \uac10\uc18c \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub35c \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \ubc18\uc751\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28\ub294 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ubcf8\uc0ac\uc758 \ud574\uc678 \uc790\ud68c\uc0ac\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ud0c0\uac9f\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \ubcf8\uc0ac\uac00 \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ub300\uc2e0 \ub5a0\uc548\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc74c.<\/p>\n<h5>3. &#8216;\uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub7b5&#8217; \ud0dd\ud55c \uae30\uc5c5\uc740 \uc9c1\uaca9\ud0c4 \ub9de\uc544<\/h5>\n<p>\uc218\ucd9c \ubb3c\ub7c9 \uac10\uc18c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc218\ucd9c \uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc218\uc775\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc218\ub7c9\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uba74 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ube44(\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac, \uc6b4\uc1a1\ube44 \ub4f1)\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uac10\uc18c\ud574 \uc218\uc775 \uac10\uc18c\ud3ed\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub428. \ubc18\uba74, \uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \ub9e4\ucd9c\ub9cc \uc904\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ube44\ub294 \uc904\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544 \uc601\uc5c5\uc774\uc775\uc774 \uae09\uac10\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc784. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ud55c \uae30\uc5c5 A\uc758 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc774 10% \uc904\uc5c8\uc744 \ub54c \uc774\uc775 \uac10\uc18c\ub294 -30\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uac00\uaca9\uc744 10% \uc778\ud558\ud588\uc744 \ub54c\ub294 \uc774\uc775\uc774 -100\uc73c\ub85c \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\uc784. \uac8c\ub2e4\uac00 A\uc0ac\uc758 \ud558\uccad\uc5c5\uccb4\ub4e4\uc740 A\uc758 \uc218\ub7c9 \uac10\uc18c \uc2dc \ud568\uaed8 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \ubc1b\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5b4 \uc774\uc775 \ubcc0\ud654\ub3c4 \uc5c6\uc74c. \uc774\ub294 \uc804\uccb4 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc65c\uace1\uc744 \ucd08\ub798\ud568.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubcfc \ub54c \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc18c\ub4dd(GDI) \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud568. GDP\ub294 \uc218\ucd9c\uc758 &#8216;\uc218\ub7c9&#8217;\ub9cc \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \ud30c\uc545\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDI\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \ubd10\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc784.<\/p>\n<p>\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ub450 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud568:<\/p>\n<p>[\ubbf8 \uad00\uc138 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc \uc77c\ubcf8 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c \ud558\ub77d\ud3ed]<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\uc218\ucd9c <strong>\uc218\ub7c9<\/strong> 10% \uac10\uc18c \uc2dc \u2192 \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDP: \u25bc0.46%, \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDI: \u25bc0.47%<\/li>\n<li>\uc218\ucd9c <strong>\uac00\uaca9<\/strong> 10% \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc \u2192 \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDP: \u25bc0.16%, \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDI: \u25bc0.47%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\ub450 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 \ubaa8\ub450 GDI \uac10\uc18c\ud3ed\uc740 \ub3d9\uc77c\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, GDP \uc9c0\ud45c\ub9cc \ub193\uace0 \ubcf4\uba74 &#8216;\uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub7b5&#8217;\uc774 \ub354 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcf4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc55e\uc11c \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub4ef GDP \ud1b5\uacc4\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c \uc218\ucd9c &#8216;\uc218\ub7c9&#8217;\ub9cc\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac12\uc784. \uc989 &#8216;\uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub7b5&#8217;\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uacfc \uace0\uc815\ube44, \uc778\uac74\ube44, \uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc218\ub8cc\ub294 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc218\uc775\uc740 \uc218\ub7c9 \uac10\uc18c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud588\uc744 \ub54c\uc640 \uac70\uc758 \uac19\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uac8c \ub428. \uc774\ub294 \uac89\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc218\ucd9c \uc2e4\uc801\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcf4\uc5ec\ub3c4, \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5 \ub0b4 \uc218\uc775\uc131 \uc545\ud654\uc640 \ube44\uc6a9 \ubd80\ub2f4 \ub204\uc801\uc774 \ub354 \uc2ec\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uacb0\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uccb4\uac10 \uacbd\uae30\ub294 \ub354 \ub098\ube60\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\uc784.<\/p>\n<p>2025\ub144 6\uc6d4 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \ub2e8\uae30\uacbd\uc81c\uad00\uce21\uc870\uc0ac(\ub2e8\uad00)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 2025 \ud68c\uacc4\uc5f0\ub3c4 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc758 \uacbd\uc0c1\uc774\uc775\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 8.4% \uac10\uc18c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \ubd80\ubb38\uc740 23.4% \uac10\uc18c\ub85c \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uc218\uc775\uc131 \uc545\ud654\uac00 \ucd94\uc815\ub428. \uc774\ub294 \uc804\ubd84\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubb34\ub824 24.9% \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub41c \uc218\uce58\ub85c, &#8216;\uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub7b5&#8217;\uc758 \ubd80\uc791\uc6a9\uc774 \ubcf8\uaca9\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90c.<\/p>\n<h5>4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc804\ub9dd: \uad00\uc138 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc9c0\uc18d \uc2dc \u2018\uc218\ucd9c \ubb3c\ub7c9\u2019\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131<\/h5>\n<p>\ud604\uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub9ce\uc740 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 &#8216;\uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub7b5&#8217;\uc73c\ub85c \ubc84\ud2f0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc624\ub294 8\uc6d4 1\uc77c\ubd80\ud130 \ub300\uc77c \uad00\uc138\uc728\uc744 \uae30\uc874 10%\uc5d0\uc11c 25%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uacf5\uc2dd \ubc1c\ud45c\ud568. \uad00\uc138\uc728\uc774 \ub354 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uba74 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc5ec\ub825\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5b4\uc838, \uc218\ucd9c &#8216;\uc218\ub7c9&#8217; \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \uac10\uc18c\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9d0. \uadf8\ub807\uac8c \ub418\uba74 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \ud30c\uae09 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \ud55c\uce35 \ub113\uace0 \uae4a\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub428.<\/p>\n<p><strong>&lt;\uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810&gt;<\/strong><br \/>\n\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ubcf4\ud638\ubb34\uc5ed \uac15\ud654 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ud070 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc900 \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc218\ucd9c \uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc218\uc775\uc131 \uc545\ud654, \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDI \uac10\uc18c, \uac70\ub798\uc870\uac74 \uc545\ud654 \ub4f1 \ub208\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc870\uc6a9\ud55c \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc784. \ud2b9\ud788 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uad00\uc138\uc728\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ub420 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