{"id":45080,"date":"2025-11-13T05:52:30","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T20:52:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=45080"},"modified":"2025-11-14T07:45:16","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T22:45:16","slug":"%eb%8c%80%eb%a7%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=45080","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;\u4e2d\uc774 6\uac1c\uc6d4\ub0b4 \ub300\ub9cc \uce68\uacf5\ud560 \uc870\uc9d0 \uc788\ub2e4\uba74&#8230; \u7f8e, \ud638\uc8fc\u00b7\uc77c\ubcf8\uacfc \uc120\uc81c\uc801 \uc81c\uc7ac \ubc1c\ub3d9&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<article class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto [content-visibility:auto] supports-[content-visibility:auto]:[contain-intrinsic-size:auto_100lvh] scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" tabindex=\"-1\" data-turn-id=\"request-WEB:5833a5cb-9f29-420e-a717-ecb05d3545e2-5\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-12\" data-scroll-anchor=\"true\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:--spacing(4)] thread-sm:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(6)] thread-lg:[--thread-content-margin:--spacing(16)] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] thread-lg:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"51f16fcf-9dd3-4bcc-9609-ca37913b3e29\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden first:pt-[1px]\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full break-words light markdown-new-styling\">\n<h3 data-start=\"0\" data-end=\"100\">| \ub79c\ub4dc \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \u201c\uc81c\uc7ac\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc804\uc7c1 \ub9c9\uc744 \uc218 \uc5c6\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0ac\uc804 \ub300\ube44 \ud544\uc694&#8221;<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"107\" data-end=\"349\"><strong>&lt;\uac1c\uc694&gt;<\/strong><br data-start=\"111\" data-end=\"114\" \/>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc2f1\ud06c\ud0f1\ud06c \ub79c\ub4dc(RAND) \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c\uac00 \uc9c0\ub09c 6\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac01) \ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\uc7c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc784\ubc15\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc911\uad6d\uc744 \uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \uc120\uc81c\uc801 \uacbd\uc81c\uc81c\uc7ac\ub97c \ubc1c\ub3d9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub54c \ud638\uc8fc\uc640 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \ud611\ub825\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \ucc38\uc5ec\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rand.org\/pubs\/research_reports\/RRA4022-1.html\"> \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574<\/a> \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\uc74c. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uacbd\uc81c \uc81c\uc7ac\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ubb34\ub825\ud589\ub3d9\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \uad70\uc0ac \uc5b5\uc81c\uc640 \ubcd1\ud589\ub418\ub294 &#8216;\uc0ac\uc804 \ub300\ube44 \uacc4\ud68d(contingency planning)&#8217;\uc774 \uc804\uc7c1\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ucd95\uc774 \ub418\uc5b4\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"356\" data-end=\"601\"><strong>&lt;\uad6c\uccb4\uc801 \ub0b4\uc6a9&gt;<\/strong><br data-start=\"364\" data-end=\"367\" \/>\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \u201c3~6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4 \ubc1c\ubc1c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc911\uad6d \ubcf8\ud1a0\ub97c \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uacbd\uc81c\uc81c\uc7ac\ub97c \uc120\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\ud589\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\uc74c. \uc81c\uc7ac\uc758 \uc2e4\ud6a8\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d\uc758 \ucc38\uc5ec\uac00 \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc774\uba70, \ud638\uc8fc\uc640 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc744 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud30c\ud2b8\ub108(core members)\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ud588\uc74c. \ud55c\uad6d\uc740 \uc5b8\uae09\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"603\" data-end=\"821\">\ub610\ud55c \uc601\uad6d\uc744 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \ub300\uc11c\uc591 \ub3d9\ub9f9 \uad00\uacc4\uc640 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc548\ubcf4 \ub9ac\ub354\uc2ed\uc744 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \ucc38\uc5ec \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uad6d\uac00\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc73c\uba70, EU \ubc0f \ud68c\uc6d0\uad6d\ub4e4\uc758 \ucc38\uc5ec\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\uc74c. \uc81c\uc7ac \ud56d\ubaa9\uc5d0\ub294 \u25b2\uae08\uc735 \uc81c\uc7ac \u25b2\uc790\uc6d0 \uc218\ucd9c \uc81c\ud55c \u25b2\uc774\uc911\uc6a9\ub3c4 \uae30\uc220 \uc218\ucd9c \ud1b5\uc81c \u25b2\uc911\uad6d \uae30\uc5c5\u00b7\uc120\ubc15\u00b7\uac1c\uc778\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac1c\ubcc4\uc801 \uc81c\uc7ac \ub4f1\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc74c. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d\uc758 \ud611\ub825\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc77c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"823\" data-end=\"997\">\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ub300\ub9cc \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uac04 \uac00\uc7a5 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uac08\ub4f1 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\uc74c. \uc77c\ub840\ub85c \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \ub9d0 \ub9d0\ub808\uc774\uc2dc\uc544\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uad6d\ubc29\uc7a5\uad00 \ud68c\ub2f4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uad6d \uce21\uc774 \u201c\ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \u2018\ub300\ub9cc \ub3c5\ub9bd\u2019\uc5d0 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ubc18\ub300\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ucd09\uad6c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551 \uc8fc\uc11d\uc774 \uc81c15\ucc28 5\uac1c\ub144 \uacc4\ud68d\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \u201c\uad6d\uac00\ud1b5\uc77c \ucd94\uc9c4\u201d\uc744 \uba85\uc2dc\ud55c \uc810\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"999\" data-end=\"1158\">\ub2e4\uce74\uc774\uce58 \uc0ac\ub098\uc5d0 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ucd1d\ub9ac\uac00 \u201c\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ub9cc \uacf5\uaca9\uc740 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc0dd\uc874\uc744 \uc704\ud611\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ud0dc\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ud574 \ubca0\uc774\uc9d5\uc73c\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ud56d\uc758\ub97c \ubc1b\uc740 \uc0ac\ub840, \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591\uacbd\uc81c\ud611\ub825\uccb4(APEC) \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub300\ub9cc \uc778\uc0ac \uc811\ucd09 \ub17c\ub780, \uc77c\ubcf8\u00b7\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ubc29\uc704 \ud611\ub825 \uac15\ud654(\uacf5\ub3d9 \uad70\ud568\uac74\uc870 \ubc0f \ubc29\uc0b0 \uad50\ub958 \ud655\ub300) \ub4f1 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub3d9\ub9f9 \uac15\ud654 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ub2e4\ub918\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"999\" data-end=\"1158\">\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc640 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uc0c1\ud638\uc758\uc874\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc544 \uc120\uc81c \uc81c\uc7ac\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\uc74c. \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c,<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"1226\" data-end=\"1397\">\n<li data-start=\"1226\" data-end=\"1295\">\n<p data-start=\"1228\" data-end=\"1295\">\ud638\uc8fc\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc704\ud611\uc774 \uc2e4\uc874\uc801\uc774\uac70\ub098 \uc790\uad6d \uc548\ubcf4\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\u00b7\ubd88\uac00\uc5ed\uc801 \ud53c\ud574\ub97c \uc8fc\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub9cc \uacbd\uc81c\uc81c\uc7ac\uc5d0 \ub3d9\ucc38\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubd24\uc74c.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1296\" data-end=\"1397\">\n<p data-start=\"1298\" data-end=\"1397\">\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 \uc81c\uc7ac \ud6a8\uacfc\uc640 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ubcf4\ubcf5, \uc790\uad6d \uad6d\ubbfc \ubc0f \uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc744 \uc885\ud569\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uc555\ubc15\uacfc \uad6d\uc81c \uacf5\uc870\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud611\ub825\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1399\" data-end=\"1548\">\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\ubbac\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uacb0\uacfc, \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ub300\ub9cc\ub9cc \uc804\uba74 \uc81c\uc7ac\ub97c \uc2dc\ud589\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)\uc774 \uc57d 1% \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uace0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 GDP\ub3c4 \uc57d 0.5% \uac10\uc18c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud588\uc74c. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud638\uc8fc\u00b7\uc77c\ubcf8 \ub4f1 \ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d\uc774 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc190\uc2e4\uc740 \uc904\uace0 \uc911\uad6d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc555\ubc15 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1550\" data-end=\"1658\">\ub2e4\ub9cc \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \u201c\uc81c\uc7ac\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubca0\uc774\uc9d5\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac\ud589\ub3d9\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uacb0\ub860\uc9c0\uc73c\uba70, \uacbd\uc81c\uc81c\uc7ac\ub294 \uc678\uad50\u00b7\uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \ubcf4\uc644\ud558\ub294 \uc885\ud569\uc801 \uc5b5\uc81c \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\ub85c \uc124\uacc4\ub418\uc5b4\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1665\" data-end=\"1925\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><strong>&lt;\uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810&gt;<\/strong><br data-start=\"1670\" data-end=\"1673\" \/>\uc774\ubc88 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \ub300\ub9cc \uc0ac\ud0dc\ub97c \uad70\uc0ac \ub300\ube44\uc640 \uacbd\uc81c \uc81c\uc7ac\ub97c \uacb0\ud569\ud55c \ubcf5\ud569 \uc804\ub7b5 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc811\uadfc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90c. \ud2b9\ud788 \ud638\uc8fc\uc640 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc744 \ucd95\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \u2018\uacbd\uc81c \uc5b5\uc81c \ub3d9\ub9f9\u2019 \uad6c\uc0c1\uc774 \ud604\uc2e4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\ubbac\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\uccb4\ud654\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ub3d9\uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc548\ubcf4 \ubc0f \ud1b5\uc0c1 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0 \uc911\ub300\ud55c \ud30c\uae09\ub825\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc784. \ub610\ud55c \uc911\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\u00b7\uc77c\ubcf8\uc774 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc758 \uc120\uc81c \uc81c\uc7ac\uc5d0 \ub3d9\ucc38\ud560\uc9c0\uac00 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uc804\ub7b5 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc758 \ubd84\uae30\uc810\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub428.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"z-0 flex min-h-[46px] justify-start\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"mt-3 w-full empty:hidden\">\n<div class=\"text-center\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<div class=\"pointer-events-none h-px w-px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" data-edge=\"true\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>| \ub79c\ub4dc \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \u201c\uc81c\uc7ac\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc804\uc7c1 \ub9c9\uc744 \uc218 \uc5c6\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0ac\uc804 \ub300\ube44 \ud544\uc694&#8221; &lt;\uac1c\uc694&gt;\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc2f1\ud06c\ud0f1\ud06c \ub79c\ub4dc(RAND) \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c\uac00 \uc9c0\ub09c 6\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac01) \ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\uc7c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc784\ubc15\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc911\uad6d\uc744 \uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \uc120\uc81c\uc801 \uacbd\uc81c\uc81c\uc7ac\ub97c \ubc1c\ub3d9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub54c \ud638\uc8fc\uc640 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \ud611\ub825\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \ucc38\uc5ec\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\uc74c. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uacbd\uc81c \uc81c\uc7ac\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ubb34\ub825\ud589\ub3d9\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \uad70\uc0ac \uc5b5\uc81c\uc640 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