{"id":5199,"date":"2024-11-13T04:50:06","date_gmt":"2024-11-12T19:50:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=5199"},"modified":"2025-04-09T17:26:03","modified_gmt":"2025-04-09T08:26:03","slug":"%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%eb%8b%b9%ec%84%a0%ec%97%90-%e4%b8%ad-%ec%99%b8%ed%99%98%eb%b3%b4%ec%9c%a0%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4-%ec%9e%87%eb%94%b0%eb%9d%bc-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=5199","title":{"rendered":"\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub2f9\uc120\uc5d0…\u4e2d \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc787\ub530\ub77c “\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uc904\uc5ec\uc57c”"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"
\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc5f0\ub3c4\ubcc4 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \ubcf4\uc720\uc561\/\uc0dd\ud06c\uc158\ub7a9<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

<\uac1c\uc694><\/strong>
\n\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub2f9\uc120 \uc774\ud6c4, \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uad00\uacc4 \uc545\ud654\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0 \ubcf4\uc720\uc5d0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ub290\ub07c\uba70 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc548\uc804 \uc790\uc0b0 \ud655\ubcf4\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc784. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \uc555\ubc15\uacfc \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc758 ‘\ubb34\uae30\ud654’ \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc784.\u00a0 \ud2b9\ud788 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc704\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub5a0\ub098\ub294 \uad6d\uac00\uc5d0 100% \uad00\uc138 \ub4f1 \uc81c\uc7ac\ub97c \uac00\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uae30\ub3c4 \ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

<\uad6c\uccb4\uc801 \ub0b4\uc6a9>
\n<\/strong>\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ub2f9\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\uc911 \uacbd\uc81c \uad00\uacc4\uc5d0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 2018\ub144 \uccab \uc784\uae30 \uc911\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed \uc804\uc7c1\uc744 \ubcf8\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubb34\uc5ed \uad6c\uc870 \uc7ac\ud3b8\uc744 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud588\uc74c. \uc774\ubc88 \ub300\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uc744 ‘\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc704\ud611’\uc73c\ub85c \uaddc\uc815\ud558\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub97c \uac15\ub825\ud788 \ubcf4\ud638\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc744 \ud68c\ud53c\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ucd5c\ub300 100%\uc758 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud560 \uac83\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud568. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud589\ubcf4\ub294 \uc911\uad6d \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0\uc758 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\uc548\uac10\uc744 \uc99d\ud3ed\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc0ac\uc6b0\uc2a4\ucc28\uc774\ub098\ubaa8\ub2dd\ud3ec\uc2a4\ud2b8<\/a>\ub294 \uc774\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ud574 \uc911\uad6d \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc5f0\uc77c \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc591 \uc2a4\uc57c\uc624(Yang Siyao, \uc911\uad6d \uce6d\ud654\ub300 \uae08\uc735\uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0) “\u7f8e \uc911\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uac00\ub2a5”<\/strong>
\n\uce6d\ud654\ub300 \uae08\uc735\uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0\uc758 \uc591 \uc2a4\uc57c\uc624 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0\uc740 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \uc7ac\ub2f9\uc120\uc774 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uae08\uc735\uc548\uc815\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc704\ud611\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud568. \uadf8\ub294 \ubbf8\uc911 \uac04\uc758 \uae08\uc735\uad00\uacc4\uac00 \uc545\ud654\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\uace0, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ubcf4\uc720\ud55c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc555\ubc15 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc6b0\ub824\ud568. \uc591 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0\uc740 \ucd5c\uc545\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uac15\uc81c\ub85c \ub9e4\uac01\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uba70 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uc900\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc704\uc6a9\ub529(Yu Yongding, \uc911\uad6d \uc778\ubbfc\uc740\ud589 \uc804 \uace0\ubb38) “\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \ud22c\uc790\ube44\uc911 \uc904\uc5ec\uc57c”<\/strong>
\n\uc911\uad6d \uc778\ubbfc\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc804 \uace0\ubb38\uc778 \uc704\uc6a9\ub529\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubd80\ucc44 \ubb38\uc81c\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc758 \ubb34\uae30\ud654\uac00 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0 \ubcf4\uc720 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc99d\uac00\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uacbd\uace0\ud568. \uadf8\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub9cc\uc131\uc801\uc778 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc801\uc790\uc640 \uad6d\uac00 \ubd80\ucc44\uac00 \uae09\uc99d\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc2e0\uc6a9 \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \uc77c\uc73c\ud0ac \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc5d0 \uc758\ubb38\uc744 \uc81c\uae30\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud568. \ub610\ud55c, \ubbf8\uc911 \uac04 \uac08\ub4f1\uc774 \uc2ec\ud654\ub418\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \ub0b4 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ud0c0\uae43\uc73c\ub85c \uc0bc\uc544 \uae08\uc735 \uc81c\uc7ac \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc788\uc74c. \uc704\uc6a9\ub529\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc9c0\uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc790\uad6d\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uad6d\uc81c \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc9c0\uc801\ud558\uba70, \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \ud22c\uc790 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \uc904\uc5ec\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc870\uc5b8\ud568.<\/p>\n

\uc81c\ub974\ub9ac\ub098 \uc831(Zerlina Zeng, CreditSights \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc804\ub7b5\ubd80\uc7a5)<\/strong>
\nCreditSights\uc758 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc804\ub7b5\ubd80\uc7a5\uc778 \uc81c\ub974\ub9ac\ub098 \uc831\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc704\uc548\ud654 \uad6d\uc81c\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud568. \uadf8\ub140\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\uc548\ud654\ub97c \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\uc0b0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub3c4\uc785\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud558\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \ubb34\uc5ed \uacb0\uc81c\uc640 \uae08\uc735 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc704\uc548\ud654 \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc744 \uc99d\uac00\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud568. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc758 \ubb34\uae30\ud654\uc640 \uc81c\uc7ac \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc900\ube44\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \uc831\uc740 \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\uc720 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \uc704\uc548\ud654 \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \ucc44\uad8c \ubc1c\ud589\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\uc678 \ubb34\uc5ed \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc704\uc548\ud654\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc728\uc744 \ub192\uc774\ub294 \ub370 \uae30\uc5ec\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud568. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub178\ub825\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0 \uad6d\uc81c\uc801 \uc704\uc548\ud654 \uc0ac\uc6a9 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \uc911\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud568.<\/p>\n

\ube0c\ub798\ub4dc \uc14b\uc11c(Brad Setser, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc7ac\ubb34,\ubd80 \uc804 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790) “\u4e2d, 3\uc790 \uba85\uc758\ub85c \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \uc228\uaca8”<\/strong>
\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \uc804 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\uc778 \ube0c\ub798\ub4dc \uc14b\uc11c\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4 \uc790\uc0b0 \ubcf4\uc720\ub97c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc904\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc81c3\uad6d\uc758 \uba85\uc758\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uac04\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud568. \uc14b\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0 \ubcf4\uc720\ub7c9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc2e4\uc81c\uc801\uc778 \ubcf4\uc720 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\uace0 \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud568. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc81c\uc7ac\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc790\uc0b0 \ub3d9\uacb0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ucd5c\uc18c\ud654\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc790\uc0b0 \ubcf4\uc720\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc77c\ud658\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\u200b\u200b.<\/p>\n

\uc7a5\ubc0d(Zhang Ming, \uc0ac\ud68c\uacfc\ud559\uc6d0 \uae08\uc735\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \ubd80\uc18c\uc7a5) “\uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \ubbfc\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\ub824\uc57c”
\n<\/strong>\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uad6d\uac00 \uc2f1\ud06c\ud0f1\ud06c\uc778 \uc0ac\ud68c\uacfc\ud559\uc6d0 \uae08\uc735\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \uc7a5\ubc0d(\u5f20\u660e) \ubd80\uc18c\uc7a5\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc81c\uc7ac \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654\ud558\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\ub97c \uc904\uc77c \uac83\uc744 \uc8fc\uc7a5<\/a>\ud588\uc74c. \ud604\uc7ac 3\uc8703000\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc774\ub974\ub294 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uc911 \uac08\ub4f1 \uc2ec\ud654\uc640 \uae08\uc735\uc81c\uc7ac \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uc694\uc18c\ub85c \ub300\ub450\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc784. \uc7a5\ubc0d\uc740 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0\ub97c \uad6d\uac00 \uc5f0\uae08 \ud380\ub4dc \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc0b0\ud558\uba70 \ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \uc720\ub3c4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc81c\uc548\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

<\uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810><\/strong>
\n\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \ubb38\uc81c\ub294 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uac04 \uae08\uc735 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc81c\uc7ac\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uccb4 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ucc3e\ub294\ub370 \uc9d1\uc911\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc784. \uc774\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \ud2b9\ud788 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \ub2f9\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \ubbf8\uc911 \uacbd\uc81c \uac08\ub4f1\uacfc \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud0dc\ud48d\uc758 \ud575\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc784.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

<\uac1c\uc694> \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub2f9\uc120 \uc774\ud6c4, \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uad00\uacc4 \uc545\ud654\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0 \ubcf4\uc720\uc5d0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ub290\ub07c\uba70 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc548\uc804 \uc790\uc0b0 \ud655\ubcf4\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc784. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \uc555\ubc15\uacfc \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uc758 ‘\ubb34\uae30\ud654’ \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc784.\u00a0 \ud2b9\ud788 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc704\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub5a0\ub098\ub294 \uad6d\uac00\uc5d0 100% \uad00\uc138 \ub4f1 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