{"id":53340,"date":"2026-02-21T09:16:57","date_gmt":"2026-02-21T00:16:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=53340"},"modified":"2026-02-23T09:15:31","modified_gmt":"2026-02-23T00:15:31","slug":"%ec%83%81%ed%98%b8-%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8-%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%99%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%84%b8%ec%88%98-%ec%98%81%ed%96%a5-%eb%af%b8%eb%af%b8%e7%be%8e-%ec%9e%ac%eb%ac%b4-%ed%94%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=53340","title":{"rendered":"\uc0c1\ud638 \uad00\uc138 \uc81c\ub3d9\uc5d0\ub3c4 “2026\ub144 \uc138\uc218 \uc601\ud5a5 \ubbf8\ubbf8\ud560 \uac83”\u2026\u7f8e \uc7ac\ubb34, \ud50c\ub79c B \uac00\ub3d9 \uc2dc\uc0ac"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc774 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uad6d\uc81c\ube44\uc0c1\uacbd\uc81c\uad8c\ud55c\ubc95(IEEPA) \uadfc\uac70 \uad00\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 6\ub300 3\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ubc95 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ub0b4\ub838\uc73c\ub098, \uc2a4\ucf67 \ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8 \ubbf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \ud310\uacb0 \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uc787\ub530\ub77c \ubc29\uc1a1 \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\uc640 \uacf5\uac1c \uc5f0\uc124\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uba70 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0\ub294 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc74c. \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\uacfc\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ubc95\uc801 \uc218\ub2e8 \ud558\ub098\uac00 \ucc28\ub2e8\ub418\uc5c8\uc744 \ubfd0, \uad6d\uac00\uc548\ubcf4\u00b7\ud611\uc0c1 \uc804\ub7b5\u00b7\uc138\uc218 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c\ub77c\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc784.<\/p>\n

“\ubc29\ud5a5\u00b7\uad6d\uac00\uc548\ubcf4\u00b7\uc138\uc218, \uc544\ubb34\uac83\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544”<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8\ub294 \ud3ed\uc2a4\ub274\uc2a4 ‘The Will Cain Show<\/a>‘ \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\uc5d0\uc11c \ud310\uacb0\uc758 \uc758\ubbf8\ub97c \ubb3b\ub294 \uc9c8\ubb38\uc5d0 “\ubc29\ud5a5\uc131, \uad6d\uac00\uc548\ubcf4, \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud611\uc0c1\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ubaa9\uc801\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560\uc9c0, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc138\uc218 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc544\ubb34\uac83\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c4 \uac83\uc740 \uc5c6\ub2e4”\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc74c.\u00a0\uadf8\ub294 \ub2e4\ub9cc \ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\ub81b\ub300(leverage)\ub97c \uac00\uc838\uac14\ub2e4\uace0 \ud45c\ud604\ud588\uc74c. \uc989, IEEPA\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc2e0\uc18d\ud558\uace0 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\uacfc \uad8c\ud55c\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc815\ucc45 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \ucca0\ud68c\ub41c \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc784.<\/p>\n

\uadf8\ub294 \uac19\uc740 \ub0a0 \ub308\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf9\ud074\ub7fd(Economic Club of Dallas<\/a>) \uc5f0\uc124\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \ucd94\uacc4\ub97c \uc778\uc6a9\ud558\uba70 2026 \ud68c\uacc4\uc5f0\ub3c4 \uad00\uc138 \uc218\uc785\uc774 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ud568\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc74c. IEEPA \ub300\uc2e0 \ub2e4\ub978 \ubc95\uc801 \uad8c\ud55c\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \uc138\uc218 \uac10\uc18c\ub294 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc784.<\/p>\n

“\ud658\uae09\uc740 \uad81\uadf9\uc801 \uae30\uc5c5 \ubcf5\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60\uac83”\u2026\uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ud61c\ud0dd \ubd80\uc815\uc801<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc9d5\uc218\ub41c \uad00\uc138\uc758 \ucc98\ub9ac \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544, \uae30\uc9d5\uc218\ub41c \uad00\uc138\uc758 \ud658\uae09 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc81c\uae30\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud574 \ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8\ub294 \ud3ed\uc2a4\ub274\uc2a4 \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\uc5d0\uc11c “\ub9cc\uc57d \uc9c0\uae09(payout)\uc774 \uc774\ub904\uc9c4\ub2e4\uba74 \uadf8\uac83\uc740 \uad81\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uae30\uc5c5 \ubcf5\uc9c0(ultimate corporate welfare)\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud560 \uac83”\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uadf8\ub294 \uad6c\uccb4\uc801 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc74c. \uc911\uad6d \uacf5\uae09\uc5c5\uccb4\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc218\uc785\uc5c5\uccb4\uc5d0 \ub0a9\ud488 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucdb0\uc8fc\uc5c8\uace0, \uc218\uc785\uc5c5\uccb4\ub294 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ub0a9\ubd80\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ucd5c\uc885 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \uacbd\uc6b0\ub97c \uac00\uc815\ud588\uc74c. \uc774 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uad00\uc138\uac00 \ud658\uae09\ub418\uba74 \uadf8 \uae08\uc561\uc740 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \ub3cc\uc544\uac00\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ud574\ub2f9 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc21c\uc774\uc775\uc73c\ub85c \ub0a8\uac8c \ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc784.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c \uadf8\ub294 \ud658\uae09\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc18c\uc1a1\uc774 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4, \uc2ec\uc9c0\uc5b4 \uc218\ub144\uc774 \uac78\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uace0, \uc808\ucc28 \uc5ed\uc2dc “\ud63c\ub780\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud669(mess)”\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uc74c. \ud310\uacb0\ub85c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad00\uc138 \uc218\uc785 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 \uc57d 1300\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 188\uc870 4000\uc5b5\uc6d0) \uc218\uc900\uc77c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0\ub3c4 \ubc1d\ud614\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uadf8\ub294 \ub308\ub7ec\uc2a4 \ud589\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c \ud658\uae09\uae08\uc774 \uad6d\ubbfc\uc5d0\uac8c \ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubb3b\ub294 \uc9c8\ubb38\uc5d0 “\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ubbfc\uc774 \uadf8 \ub3c8\uc744 \ubcf4\uac8c \ub420 \uac83 \uac19\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\ub2e4”\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud558\uba70 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ud61c\ud0dd \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubd80\uc815\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

“3\uc77c \ub0b4 10% \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uad00\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5”\u2026122\u00b7232\u00b7301\uc870 \ud65c\uc6a9<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8 \uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \ub610\ud55c \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc911\ub2e8\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc7ac\uad6c\uc131\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc74c. \uadf8\ub294 \ubb34\uc5ed\ubc95 \uc81c122\uc870\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 “3\uc77c \uc774\ub0b4\uc5d0 10% \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4”\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc74c.\u00a0\ub610\ud55c \uc81c232\uc870(\uad6d\uac00\uc548\ubcf4 \uad00\ub828 \uad00\uc138)\uc640 \uc81c301\uc870(\ubd88\uacf5\uc815 \ubb34\uc5ed\uad00\ud589 \ub300\uc751 \uad00\uc138)\ub97c \uacb0\ud569\ud558\uba74 \uae30\uc874 \uad00\uc138 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\uc74c. \uadf8\ub294 \uc774\ub4e4 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 IEEPA\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub35c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uc57d\uac04 \ub354 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc778\uc815\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \uc138\uc218 \ud6a8\uacfc \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud070 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \ucd94\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 122\uc870 \uad8c\ud55c\uacfc \uac15\ud654\ub41c 232\u00b7301\uc870 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \uc870\ud569\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 2026\ub144 \uad00\uc138 \uc218\uc785\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ub3d9\uc77c\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc784.<\/p>\n

“\uc624\ud788\ub824 \ub354 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ub300\uc548\uc774 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778”\u2026\uc644\uc804 \uae08\uc218 \uad8c\ud55c \uac15\uc870<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ud310\uacb0\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ud611\uc0c1\ub825\uc744 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uc5d0 \ub3d9\uc758\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc74c. \uadf8\ub294 \uc624\ud788\ub824 \ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \uc644\uc804 \uae08\uc218\uc870\uce58(full embargo) \uad8c\ud55c\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubd80\uac01\ud588\uc74c.\u00a0\uadf8\ub294 \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\uc5d0\uc11c “\uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc758\ubbf8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uac00\uc9c4 \uc9c0\ub81b\ub300\ub97c \ub354 \uac00\ud639\ud558\uac8c(draconian) \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc900 \uc148\uc774\ub2e4”\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc74c. \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ud2b9\uc815 \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \uc0c1\ud488 \uc804\uccb4\ub97c \ucc28\ub2e8\ud558\uac70\ub098, \ud2b9\uc815 \uc81c\ud488\uad70\uc744 \uc804\uba74 \uae08\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ud55c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc784.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uadf8\ub294 \uae08\uc218\uc870\uce58\uc758 \ud55c\uacc4\ub3c4 \uc778\uc815\ud588\uc74c. \uae08\uc218 \uc790\uccb4\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 1\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub3c4 \uc9d5\uc218\ud560 \uc218\ub294 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uba70, \uae08\uc218\ub294 \uc138\uc218 \ud655\ubcf4 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ud611\uc0c1 \uc555\ubc15 \uc218\ub2e8\uc784\uc744 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\ubb34\uc5ed \ud569\uc758\ub294 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8\ub294 IEEPA \uad8c\ud55c\uc774 \ucc28\ub2e8\ub41c \uc810\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 “\uc624\ub298\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ubbfc\uc5d0\uac8c \uc190\uc2e4(loss)\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud45c\ud604\ud588\uc74c. \uadf8\ub294 IEEPA\uac00 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc5d0\uac8c \uc81c\uacf5\ud588\ub358 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uc804\uba74\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\ub81b\ub300\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ub77c\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uadf8\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ud569\uc758\ub97c \uccb4\uacb0\ud55c \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774\ub97c \uc7ac\uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uc558\uc74c. \ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8\ub294 “\ubaa8\ub450\uac00 \uc790\uc2e0\uc758 \ud569\uc758\ub97c \uc874\uc911\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc0dd\uac01\ud55c\ub2e4”\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc74c. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uae08\uc218\uc870\uce58\ub77c\ub294 ‘\uac00\ud639\ud55c \ub300\uc548’\uc774 \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\ub294 \ud55c, \ud611\uc0c1 \ud14c\uc774\ube14\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud611\uc0c1\ub825\uc740 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uacb0\ub860: \ubc95\uc801 \uacbd\ub85c\ub294 \uc218\uc815, \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc720\uc9c0<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc758 \uc77c\ub828\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uc885\ud569\ud558\uba74 \uc785\uc7a5\uc740 \uc77c\uad00\ub428. IEEPA \uae30\ubc18 \uad00\uc138\ub294 \uc81c\ub3d9\uc774 \uac78\ub838\uc73c\ub098, \uc138\uc218 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc640 \ubb34\uc5ed \uc555\ubc15 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc720\uc9c0\ub428. \ud658\uae09\uc774 \uc774\ub904\uc9c0\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ud61c\ud0dd\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0, \ud589\uc815\ubd80\ub294 122\u00b7232\u00b7301\uc870 \uad8c\ud55c\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \uc7ac\uad6c\uc131\ud560 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc74c. \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \u2018\uc644\uc804 \uae08\uc218\u2019\ub77c\ub294 \ub354\uc6b1 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uce74\ub4dc\ub3c4 \uc874\uc7ac\ud568.<\/p>\n

\uc989, \uc774\ubc88 \ub300\ubc95\uc6d0 \ud310\uacb0\uc740 \uc218\ub2e8\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ucd08\ub798\ud588\uc744 \ubfd0, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \uc911\uc2ec \ubb34\uc5ed \uc804\ub7b5 \uc790\uccb4\ub97c \ud754\ub4e4\uc9c0\ub294 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc774 \uc804\ub2ec\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\uc784.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc774 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uad6d\uc81c\ube44\uc0c1\uacbd\uc81c\uad8c\ud55c\ubc95(IEEPA) \uadfc\uac70 \uad00\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 6\ub300 3\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ubc95 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ub0b4\ub838\uc73c\ub098, \uc2a4\ucf67 \ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8 \ubbf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \ud310\uacb0 \uc9c1\ud6c4 \uc787\ub530\ub77c \ubc29\uc1a1 \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\uc640 \uacf5\uac1c \uc5f0\uc124\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uba70 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0\ub294 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc74c. \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\uacfc\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ubc95\uc801 \uc218\ub2e8 \ud558\ub098\uac00 \ucc28\ub2e8\ub418\uc5c8\uc744 \ubfd0, \uad6d\uac00\uc548\ubcf4\u00b7\ud611\uc0c1 \uc804\ub7b5\u00b7\uc138\uc218 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c\ub77c\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc784. “\ubc29\ud5a5\u00b7\uad6d\uac00\uc548\ubcf4\u00b7\uc138\uc218, \uc544\ubb34\uac83\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544” 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