{"id":59709,"date":"2026-04-30T08:26:25","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T23:26:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=59709"},"modified":"2026-04-30T08:26:25","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T23:26:25","slug":"%e7%be%8e-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%98%ac%ed%95%b4-%ec%84%b8-%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=59709","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e \uc5f0\uc900, \uc62c\ud574 \uc138 \ucc28\ub840 \uc5f0\uc18d \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0"},"content":{"rendered":"

|\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1…\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824 \ud655\ub300\u00b7\uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4
\n|\uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc704\ud5d8 \uc2dc \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \uc870\uc815 \uc900\ube44\u2026\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc2dc\uc0ac<\/h3>\n

<\uac1c\uc694><\/strong>
\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ud604\ud589 3.50~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uc62c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc138 \ucc28\ub840 \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud588\uc74c. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc5ec\ud30c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824, \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c \ud480\uc774\ub428. \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c\ubbf8(\u97d3\u7f8e) \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uae30\uc900 1.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac8c \ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc815\ucc45 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub480\uc74c.<\/p>\n

<\uad6c\uccb4\uc801 \ub0b4\uc6a9><\/strong>
\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\uac00 29\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac01) \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50\u223c3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc74c. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc774\ub0a0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC) \uc815\ub840\ud68c\uc758 2\uc77c\ucc28 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc5f4\uace0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc774\uac19\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc74c.<\/a> \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uc810\uc774 \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce5c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud480\uc774\ub428.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 9\u00b710\u00b712\uc6d4 \uc138 \ucc28\ub840 \uc5f0\uc18d \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc62c\ud574 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 1\uc6d4\uacfc \uc9c0\ub09c 3\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc774\uc5b4 \uc138 \ucc28\ub840 \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub838\uc74c. \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c\uad6d(2.50%)\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 1.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac8c \ub410\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \ubc30\uacbd\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud574 “\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ubd80\ubd84\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd5c\uadfc \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uac83”\uc774\ub77c\uba70 “\uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc815\uc138 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub192\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ucd08\ub798\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4”\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc74c. \ub610 “\ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4”\uba70 “\uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \uc654\uc73c\uba70, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \ub2ec\uac04 \uac70\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4”\uace0 \ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 “\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd5c\ub300 \uace0\uc6a9\uacfc 2%\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ub2ec\uc131\ud558\uace0\uc790 \ud55c\ub2e4”\uba70 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 \ubcc0\ud654, \uc704\ud5d8 \uc694\uc778 \ub4f1\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc74c. \uadf8\ub7ec\uba74\uc11c “\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c \ub2ec\uc131\uc744 \uc800\ud574\ud560 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc801\uc808\ud788 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc870\uc815\ud560 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4”\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\uc74c. \uc774\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\ub3c4 \ub098\uc624\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub0a0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0\ub294 8\uba85\uc774 \ucc2c\uc131\uc744, 4\uba85\uc774 \ubc18\ub300 \uc758\uacac(\uacb0\uc815\ub41c \ub0b4\uc6a9\uacfc \ub2e4\ub978 \uc18c\uc218\uc758\uacac)\uc744 \ub0c8\uc74c. \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc778 \ubc18\ub300 \uc758\uacac\uc774 4\uba85\uc774\ub098 \ub098\uc628 \uac83\uc740 1992\ub144 10\uc6d4 6\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 34\ub144 \ub9cc\uc784. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 ‘\uacbd\uc81c \ucc45\uc0ac’\ub85c \ubd88\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2f0\ube10 \ub9c8\uc774\ub7f0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc774\uc0ac\ub294 \ud640\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac 0.25%p \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud558\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0 \ubc18\ub300\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\ubca0\uc2a4 \ud574\uba39, \ub2d0 \uce74\uc288\uce74\ub9ac, \ub85c\ub9ac \ub85c\uac74 \ub4f1 \ub2e4\ub978 3\uba85\uc758 \uc704\uc6d0\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub294 \ucc2c\uc131\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub354 \uc720\ub825\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0b4\ub294 ‘\uc644\ud654\uc801 \uae30\uc870’\ub97c \uc131\uba85\uc5d0 \ud3ec\ud568\ud558\ub294 \ub370\uc5d0\ub294 \ubc18\ub300\ud588\uc74c.\u00a0\ub274\uc695\ud0c0\uc784\uc2a4(NYT)<\/a>\ub294 \uc774\ub4e4 3\uba85 \uc704\uc6d0\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc870\uce58\uac00 \ubc18\ub4dc\uc2dc \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc544\ub2d0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uae30\ub97c \uc6d0\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc81c\uc57d\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\uace0 \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \uc6b0\ub824\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\uc5b4\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uace0\ubbfc\uc774 \uae4a\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc784.<\/p>\n

\ud2b9\ud788 \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ub0b4\ub2ec \uc758\uc7a5\uc9c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\ub7ec\ub098\uace0 \uc0c8 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80 \uccb4\uc81c\uac00 \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\uba74 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ub354 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc804\ub9dd\uc784. \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 5\uc6d4 15\uc77c \uc784\uae30\ub97c \ub9c8\uce58\uace0 \ubb3c\ub7ec\ub098\uba74 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc \ucc28\uae30 \uc758\uc7a5 \uc9c0\uba85\uc790\uac00 6\uc6d4 16~17\uc77c \uc5f4\ub9ac\ub294 FOMC \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc8fc\uc7ac\ud558\uac8c \ub428. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc9c0\uba85\uc790\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc0c1\uc6d0 \uc740\ud589\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c \uc778\uc900\uc548\uc740 \uc774\ub0a0 \uac00\uacb0\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\uc6d0 \uc804\uccb4\ud68c\uc758 \ud45c\uacb0\uc744 \uac70\uccd0 \uc778\uc900\uc774 \ucd5c\uc885 \ud655\uc815\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc784.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc555\ubc15\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc6cc\uc2dc \uccb4\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9b4\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ub428. \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc9c0\uba85\uc790\ub294 \uc55e\uc11c \uc0c1\uc6d0 \uc778\uc900 \uccad\ubb38\ud68c\uc5d0\uc11c “\ub300\ud1b5\ub839\ub4e4\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4”\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 “\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc131\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824\uc788\ub2e4”\uace0 \ub9d0\ud574 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ubc1d\ud78c \ubc14 \uc788\uc74c. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc774\ub0a0 \ubc31\uc545\uad00\uc5d0\uc11c \ucde8\uc7ac\uc9c4\uacfc \ub9cc\ub098 \uc6cc\uc2dc \uc9c0\uba85\uc790\uac00 \ucde8\uc784\ud558\uba74 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc774\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc744 \uc124\ub4dd\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub290\ub0d0\ub294 \uc9c8\ubb38\uc5d0 “\uc9c0\ucf1c\ubd10\uc57c\uaca0\uc9c0\ub9cc \uadf8\ub798\uc57c \ud560 \uac83”\uc774\ub77c\uba70 “\uc9c0\uae08\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc801\uae30\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38”\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub0a0 \uc758\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc744 \uac16\uace0 \uc790\uc2e0\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c \ubbf8 \ubc95\ubb34\ubd80\uc758 \uc5f0\uc900 \uac74\ubb3c \uac1c\ubcf4\uc218 \ube44\uc6a9 \uacfc\ub2e4\uc9c0\ucd9c \uc758\ud639 \uc218\uc0ac\uc640 \uad00\ub828, “\uc870\uc0ac\uac00 \ud655\uc2e4\ud558\uace0 \ud22c\uba85\ud558\uac8c \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc885\uacb0\ub418\uae30\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4”\uba70 “\uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uc801\uc808\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ub420 \ub54c \ubb3c\ub7ec\ub0a0 \uac83”\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc74c. \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc758\uc7a5 \uc784\uae30\uac00 \ub05d\ub098\ub3c4 2028\ub144 1\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0a8\uc740 \uc774\uc0ac \uc784\uae30\ub97c \uc218\ud589\ud558\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\uacb0\uad8c\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc784.<\/p>\n

<\uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810><\/strong>
\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uade0\ud615\uc744 \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub193\uc600\uc74c. \ub0b4\ubd80 \uc774\uacac\uacfc \ucc28\uae30 \uc758\uc7a5 \uccb4\uc81c \uc804\ud658\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c. \ud55c\uad6d \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud658\uc728\u00b7\uc790\ubcf8\ud750\ub984 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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