{"id":68933,"date":"2026-08-14T03:58:15","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T18:58:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=68933"},"modified":"2026-08-15T12:41:13","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T03:41:13","slug":"%ea%b4%80%ec%84%b8-%ed%99%98%ea%b8%89-%ec%8b%a0%ec%b2%ad%eb%a7%8c-1287%ec%96%b5-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%a0%ed%94%8c%c2%b7%eb%82%98%ec%9d%b4%ed%82%a4-%eb%93%b1-%e7%be%8e-%ea%b8%b0%ec%97%85-40","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sanctionlab.com\/?p=68933","title":{"rendered":"\uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09 \uc2e0\uccad\ub9cc 1287\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec…\uc560\ud50c\u00b7\ub098\uc774\ud0a4 \ub4f1 \u7f8e \uae30\uc5c5 40\uc5ec\uacf3, 96\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec ‘\uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09’"},"content":{"rendered":"

|\ub300\ubc95 \ubb34\ud6a8 \ud310\uacb0 \ud6c4 \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09\u2026\uc560\ud50c 22\uc5b5\u00b7\ub098\uc774\ud0a4 9\uc5b59000\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uae09
\n|\uae30\uc5c5\ubcc4 \ud68c\uacc4\ucc98\ub9ac\u00b7\uace0\uac1d \ubc18\ud658 \ubc29\uc2dd \uc81c\uac01\uac01\u2026\uc2e4\uc9c8 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \uc5c5\uc885\ubcc4\ub85c \ucc28\uc774<\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n

<\uac1c\uc694>
\n<\/strong>\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc774 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \ube44\uc0c1\uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \ucd5c\uadfc S&P500 \uae30\uc5c5 40\uc5ec\uacf3\uc774 \uc57d 96\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 13\uc8706000\uc5b5\uc6d0)\uc758 \ud658\uae09\uc561\uc744 \uacf5\uac1c\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc560\ud50c\uc740 \uc57d 22\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 3\uc870 1000\uc5b5\uc6d0), \ub098\uc774\ud0a4\ub294 9\uc5b5 8600\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc870 4000\uc5b5\uc6d0)\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud568. \uc77c\ubd80 \uae30\uc5c5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud658\uae09\uae08\uc774 \ubd84\uae30 \uc21c\uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \uc77c\ud68c\uc131 \uc2e4\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

<\uad6c\uccb4\uc801 \ub0b4\uc6a9>
\n<\/strong>12\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac01) \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8\uc800\ub110(WSJ)<\/a>\uc774 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud55c \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd08 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \uad00\uc138\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\uc5c8\ub358 \ube44\uc0c1\uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc694 \uae30\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09\uc774 \ubcf8\uaca9\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \ud658\uae09 \uc808\ucc28\uac00 \ub290\ub9ac\uace0 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub780 \ub2f9\ucd08 \uc6b0\ub824\uc640 \ub2ec\ub9ac \uc77c\ubd80 \uae30\uc5c5\uc740 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ube60\ub978 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ud658\uae09\uae08\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \ud55c \ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 S&P500 \uae30\uc5c5 40\uc5ec\uacf3\uc774 \uacf5\uac1c\ud55c \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09\uc561\uc740 \uc57d 96\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc774\uba70 \uc774 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc2e4\uc81c \ud604\uae08\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\ub839\ud55c \uae08\uc561\ub3c4 \ucd5c\uc18c 21\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud568. \uae30\uc5c5\ubcc4\ub85c\ub294 \uc560\ud50c\uc774 \uc57d 22\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc558\uc73c\uba70 \ub098\uc774\ud0a4 9\uc5b5 8600\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ud398\ub371\uc2a4 \uc57d 8\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc544\ub9c8\uc874 6\uc5b5 4000\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc81c\ub108\ub7f4\ubaa8\ud130\uc2a4(GM) 5\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub4f1\uc774 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ud658\uae09\uc561\uc744 \uacf5\uac1c\ud568. (1\ub2ec\ub7ec=\uc57d 1419\uc6d0)<\/p>\n

\ubbf8 \uad00\uc138\uad6d\uacbd\ubcf4\ud638\uccad(CBP)\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c 7\uc6d4 31\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc774 \ubd88\ubc95\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud55c \uad00\uc138\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ud574 25\ub9cc 2000\uac74 \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \ud658\uae09 \uc2e0\uccad\uc744 \uc811\uc218\ud568. CBP\uac00 \ud658\uae09 \ucc98\ub9ac \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\uc815\ud55c \uc2e0\uccad\uc561\uc740 1287\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 182\uc870\uc6d0)\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud568. \ub2f9\ucd08 \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654\ub41c \uad6d\uc81c\ube44\uc0c1\uacbd\uc81c\uad8c\ud55c\ubc95(IEEPA) \uae30\ubc18 \uad00\uc138 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 \ucd1d 1660\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc600\uc73c\uba70 \uc774 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc57d 1000\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \uc9c0\uae09 \uc808\ucc28\ub85c \ub118\uc5b4\uac04 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub428.<\/p>\n

\uc77c\ubd80 \uae30\uc5c5\uc740 \uc2e0\uccad\ud55c \ud658\uae09\uae08\uc744 \uc774\ubbf8 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uc218\ub839\ud568. \ub098\uc774\ud0a4\ub294 5\uc6d4 31\uc77c \uc885\ub8cc\ub41c \ud68c\uacc4\uc5f0\ub3c4 4\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 3\uc5b5 200\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud658\uae09 \ubc1b\uc558\uc73c\uba70 7\uc6d4 15\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub098\uba38\uc9c0 6\uc5b5 8400\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub3c4 \uac70\uc758 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc218\ub839\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud798. \ubc18\uba74 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc6a9 \uce21\uc815\u00b7\uc790\ub3d9\ud654 \uc7a5\ube44\uc5c5\uccb4 \ud3ec\ud2f0\ube0c\ub294 450\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud658\uae09\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\uace0 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300 2500\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ubc1b\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud568.<\/p>\n

\uae30\uc5c5\ubcc4 \ud68c\uacc4\ucc98\ub9ac \ubc29\uc2dd\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc788\uc74c. \uc77c\ubd80 \uae30\uc5c5\uc740 \uc2e4\uc81c \ud604\uae08\uc774 \uc785\uae08\ub41c \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \ud658\uae09\uc561\uc744 \uc2e4\uc801\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub2e4\ub978 \uae30\uc5c5\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubc1b\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\uc561\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubbf8\uc218\uae08\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0c1\ud568. \ubc14\ucf54\ub4dc \uc2a4\uce90\ub108 \uc5c5\uccb4 \uc9c0\ube0c\ub77c\ud14c\ud06c\ub180\ub85c\uc9c0\uc2a4\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \ub0a9\ubd80\ud55c \uad00\uc138 7300\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\uc561\uc744 \ub3cc\ub824\ubc1b\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud574 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc2e4\uc801\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud568.<\/p>\n

\uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09\uc740 \uc77c\ubd80 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \ubd84\uae30 \uc2e4\uc801\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \uc560\ud50c\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09\uc73c\ub85c \uc8fc\ub2f9\uc21c\uc774\uc775(EPS)\uc774 0.11\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub294 \uc804\uccb4 \ubd84\uae30 EPS\uc758 \uc57d 5%\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud568. GE\ud5ec\uc2a4\ucf00\uc5b4\ub3c4 6\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc885\ub8cc \ubd84\uae30\uc758 \uc8fc\ub2f9\uc21c\uc774\uc775 1.24\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 0.18\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc600\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud798. \ud68c\uc0ac\ub294 1\uc5b5 700\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc774\ubbf8 \ub3cc\ub824\ubc1b\uc558\uc73c\uba70 3800\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ubc1b\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud568.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\uba74 \ud658\uae09\uae08\uc744 \uace0\uac1d\uc5d0\uac8c \ub3cc\ub824\uc8fc\ub294 \ubb38\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc7c1\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud568. \ud398\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 \uc57d 8\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud658\uae09\uae08\uc744 8\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \ud654\uc8fc\uc640 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uc9c0\uae09\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc73c\uba70 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud2b8\ucf54\ub3c4 \uae30\uc874\uc5d0 \uace0\uac1d\uc5d0\uac8c \uc804\uac00\ud588\ub358 \uad00\uc138 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud658\uae09 \ud61c\ud0dd\uc744 \uace0\uac1d\uc5d0\uac8c \ub3cc\ub824\uc904 \ubc29\uce68\uc784. \uc544\ub9c8\uc874\ub3c4 \uad00\uc138 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ud2b9\uc815 \uace0\uac1d\uc5d0\uac8c \uc804\uac00\ub410\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc77c\ubd80 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ud658\uae09\uae08\uc744 \uc9c0\uae09\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud798.<\/p>\n

\ud3ec\ub4dc\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc815\ubd80\uc640 \uacf5\uae09\uc5c5\uccb4\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc57d 30\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ubcf4\uc804\ubc1b\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70 \uc774 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc57d 13\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc758 \ube44\uc0c1\uad00\uc138 \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654 \uacb0\uc815\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud568. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09\uc774 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801\uacfc \ud604\uae08\ud750\ub984\ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uace0\uac1d \ud658\uae09, \ud68c\uacc4\ucc98\ub9ac \ubc29\uc2dd\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09\uc740 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uad6d\uc81c\uacbd\uc81c\ube44\uc0c1\uad8c\ud55c\ubc95(IEEPA\u00b71977<\/span>\ub144 \uc81c\uc815)\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c \uc8fc\uc694 \uad50\uc5ed\uad6d\uc5d0 \ubd80\uacfc\ud55c \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubc95\uc801 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc784. \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc740\u00a0IEEPA<\/span>\uac00 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc5d0\uac8c \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud560 \uad8c\ud55c\uc744 \ubd80\uc5ec\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5f0\ubc29\uad6d\uc81c\ubb34\uc5ed\ubc95\uc6d0\uc740 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc5d0 \uc218\uc785\uc5c5\uccb4\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09 \uc808\ucc28\ub97c \uba85\ub839\ud588\uc74c.<\/p>\n

<\uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810>
\n<\/strong>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09\uc740 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uc138\uae08 \ubc18\ud658\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801\uacfc \ud68c\uacc4\ucc98\ub9ac, \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ubcf4\uc0c1 \ubb38\uc81c\ub85c \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \ud2b9\ud788 IEEPA \uae30\ubc18 \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09 \uc2e0\uccad\uc561\uc774 1287\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud574 \uae30\uc5c5\ubcc4 \ud658\uae09 \uc790\uaca9\uacfc \ub0a9\ubd80 \uc774\ub825 \ucd94\uc801\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud574\uc9c8 \uc804\ub9dd\uc784. \ud5a5\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc218\uc785\uc790\ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uad00\uc138\uac00 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub204\uad6c\uc5d0\uac8c \uc804\uac00\ub410\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uad00\ub9ac\uc640 \ud658\uae09\uae08 \uadc0\uc18d \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\uc0c1 \ucef4\ud50c\ub77c\uc774\uc5b8\uc2a4 \uc774\uc288\uac00 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc74c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

|\ub300\ubc95 \ubb34\ud6a8 \ud310\uacb0 \ud6c4 \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09\u2026\uc560\ud50c 22\uc5b5\u00b7\ub098\uc774\ud0a4 9\uc5b59000\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uae09 |\uae30\uc5c5\ubcc4 \ud68c\uacc4\ucc98\ub9ac\u00b7\uace0\uac1d \ubc18\ud658 \ubc29\uc2dd \uc81c\uac01\uac01\u2026\uc2e4\uc9c8 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \uc5c5\uc885\ubcc4\ub85c \ucc28\uc774   <\uac1c\uc694> \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc774 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 \ube44\uc0c1\uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \ud658\uae09\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c. \ucd5c\uadfc S&P500 \uae30\uc5c5 40\uc5ec\uacf3\uc774 \uc57d 96\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 13\uc8706000\uc5b5\uc6d0)\uc758 \ud658\uae09\uc561\uc744 \uacf5\uac1c\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc560\ud50c\uc740 \uc57d 22\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 3\uc870 1000\uc5b5\uc6d0), \ub098\uc774\ud0a4\ub294 9\uc5b5 8600\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc57d 1\uc870 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